Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

Toronto Blue Jays (17-20) vs Minnesota Twins (22-15)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 3:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Kevin Gausman (2-3) (3.78) vs Simeon Woods Richardson (1-0) (1.74)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -152 / Minnesota Twins +127 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB showdown on Saturday, May 11th at the Rogers Centre. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Twins recent form and recent player performance 

-The Blue Jays recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto

-Recent betting trends in games played between Florida and Boston

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Twins and Blue Jays. 

Twins Win Another

The Twins picked up another win on Friday and the pitching was the difference. The Twins are averaging 4.84 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.19 runs per game. Joe Ryan went seven innings giving up six hits and one run. Carlos Santana also hit a home run.  The offense is ranked 10th in the league while the defense is ranked 12th. They currently have a run differential of 0.65 which is 11th in the league. 

Jeffers Continues to Impressive

Ryan Jeffers is having a strong season and so far he has hit eight home runs and driven in 29 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Twins will be Simeon Woods Richardson who sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 1.74. In his last start against the Seattle Mariners, he went six innings giving up one hit and zero runs. 

Blue Jays Have Struggled

The Blue Jays have struggled and they are coming off another loss in the last game. The Blue Jays offense only scored two runs, and that wasn’t enough as they fell just short. Isaiah Kiner-Falefa did have a strong game hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. The Blue Jays are averaging 3.62 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.81 runs per game. The offense is ranked 27th in the league while the pitching is ranked 23rd. They currently have a negative run differential of -1.19 which is 27th in the league. They are batting as a team .222 which is 22nd in the MLB. Daulton Varsho has hit six home runs and driven in 16 RBIs. Getting the start for the Blue Jays will be Kevin Gausman who sits with a 2-3 record and an ERA of 3.78. In the last game against the Washington Nationals, he went 5.1 innings giving up three hits and zero runs. 

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Saturday appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against the Twins.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays' last seven games as home favorites.
  • Danny Jansen has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Rogers Centre against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against the Twins.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Blue Jays' last four games.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of the Twins' last three games as road underdogs.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Saturday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for RBI's this season (126).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (281).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (79).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (385).

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

This game is going to be a pitchers' duel. Woods-Richardson in his last start was dominant, and he’s going to be dominant again in this fight. Gausman gave up zero runs in his last start and he’s also going to be dominant here. Both teams are going to be lights out with their pitching and that will be the difference here. Look for only four or five runs total to be scored. Back the under to cash. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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