LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

San Diego Padres (20-20) vs LA Dodgers (26-13)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 8:40 pm (Petco Park)

Matt Waldron (1-4) (5.82) vs James Paxton (4-0) (3.06)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres +115 / LA Dodgers -135 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The LA Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Petco Park. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

LA Dodgers Betting Preview

The LA Dodgers are 26-14 this season after wins over the Braves and Marlins. The LA Dodgers have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The LA Dodgers have won 14 of their last 15 games when scoring more than 1 run. Shohei Ohtani leads the LA Dodgers with 56 hits and 27 RBI while Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman have combined for 98 hits and 49 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 21-20 this season after wins over the Diamondbacks and Cubs. The San Diego Padres have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or less runs in 3 straight games. The San Diego Padres have lost 7 of their last 10 games when scoring 3 or less runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 44 hits and 27 RBI while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 82 hits and 47 RBI.

LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

James Paxton gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. The Dodgers are 5-1 this season when Paxton pitches. Paxton has a 4.02 ERA and .246 allowed batting average in 15.2 road innings. Paxton is 2-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Matt Waldron gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Waldron has allowed 14 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 9 innings. Waldron has a 7.98 ERA and .344 allowed batting average in 14.2 home innings. This will be Waldron’s second career game against the LA Dodgers.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres' last five games against the Dodgers.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Padres' last six night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.408) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in three of the Dodgers' last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Will Smith has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Will Smith has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • Will Smith has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Max Muncy has scored a run in each of his last seven appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • James Paxton has recorded four or more strikeouts in 16 of his 17 previous appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Will Smith has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers' last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • James Paxton has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Will Smith has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.359) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (358).
  • The San Diego Padres rank T2nd in the league for RBI's this season (191).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (215).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (364).

LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The San Diego Padres got a confidence boost after last night's win, and they're eager to prove they can compete with the Dodgers. The Padres play these series with a bit of an edge. With that said, we're getting a cheap price with the Dodgers, something that doesn't happen often. Also, the Padres have lost 6 of the 7 games Waldron has pitched this season, and he's been god awful at home this season. James Paxton has had success this season, and the Dodgers haven't strung together losses much. I respect the Padres fight and them competing with the Dodgers this year would be fun, but I have to side with the Dodgers in game 2.

Randy’s Pick LA Dodgers -135

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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