Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

Detroit Tigers (19-18) vs Houston Astros (13-24)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 6:10 pm (Comerica Park)

Tarik Skubal (4-0) (1.90) vs Cristian Javier (2-0) (1.54)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -127 / Houston Astros +107 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Astros and the Detroit Tigers meet Saturday in MLB action from Comerica Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Houston Astros recent form and player performance

• The Detroit Tigers recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Astros and Tigers

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Astros vs Tigers game

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Astros played the New York Yankees in their last series. Houston took losses in the first two games of that set 10-3 and 9-4, but came back for a victory 4-3 on Thursday to prevent the sweep. On Friday versus the Tigers, the Astros scored four runs in the eighth inning on the way to a 5-2 comeback win. Framber Valdez posted 7.0 innings in the start with two eared on six hits and two walks.

In the starting pitcher slot for the Saturday matchup, the Astros will go with Cristian Javier. This year over four starts Javier is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 18 Ks in 23.1 innings. Javier is 32-17 with a 3.47 ERA in 113 career games (79 starts).

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Tigers’ side, they took on the Cleveland Guardians this week. Detroit managed an 11-7 victory on Tuesday but otherwise lost 2-1 Monday and 5-4 in the rubber match. On Friday the Tigers were out-hit 8-7. Casey Mize went 6.0 innings in the start with one earned run on five hits and two walks.

It’ll be Tarik Skubal in the starting pitcher slot for the Tigers on Saturday. So far this year Skubal is 4-0 with a 1.90 ERA in seven starts. Over his career Skubal is 27-27 with a 3.67 ERA in 82 games (79 starts).

Astros vs Tigers Injury Notes

Astros SP Jose Urquidy (forearm) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sugar Land on Sunday.

Tigers 3B Gio Urshela (hamstring) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Toledo on Thursday.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Riley Greene has hit a home run in each of the Tigers' last two games as favorites.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Riley Greene has scored at least one run in seven of the Tigers' last eight night games.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers' last nine night games.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against the Astros.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Astros.
  • Riley Greene has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers' last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last four games against AL Central opponents.
  • Cristian Javier has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Double in each of the Astros' last three games at Comerica Park.
  • Jose Abreu has hit at least one home run in four of the Astros' last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros' last seven games against AL Central opponents.
  • Cristian Javier has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances.
  • Jose Abreu has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Abreu has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against the Tigers.
  • Jose Abreu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against the Tigers.
  • Kyle Tucker ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (9).
  • The Detroit Tigers rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
  • The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (246).
  • The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.257).

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’ll stay with Houston in this one. We should have a fun starter matchup if both guys are on, though. Javier hasn’t pitched at the MLB level since April 14 (7.0 innings; two earned versus the Rangers), but he should settle back into the groove quickly after his return from the Injury List. As for Skubal, he’s got just three earned combined over his last three starts in 19.0 total innings (a 2-0 run).

On Friday the Astros were down 2-1 heading into the eighth inning but found some late life at the plate. I like Houston to build on this one.

Andrew’s Pick Houston Astros +107

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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