Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

San Francisco Giants (17-23) vs Cincinnati Reds (17-21)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 7:15 pm (Oracle Park)

Mason Black (0-1) (10.38) vs Nick Lodolo (3-1) (2.79)

Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants +100 / Cincinnati Reds -120 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv

In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 11th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Reds recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Giants recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Cincinnati and San Francisco
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cincinnati and San Francisco 

Cincinnati Finally Snapped the Losing Streak 

The Cincinnati Reds are 17-21 this season and they have lost eight of their last nine games. Cincinnati won the first game in this series by a score of 4-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Reds were swept by the Diamondbacks, swept by the Orioles, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Cincinnati has not won back to back games in their last 14 games and they are third in the NL Central behind the Brewers and Cubs. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 165 runs with a .212 batting average and a .291 on base percentage. Cincinnati is 15th in runs scored this season, but they have scored two runs or fewer in five of their last eight games. 

San Francisco Needs Better Pitching

The San Francisco Giants are 17-23 this year and they have lost six of their last eight games. San Francisco lost the first game in this series on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Giants won two out of three against Colorado, were swept by the Phillies in four games, and lost two out of three against the Red Sox. San Francisco has won back to back games only once in their last 15 games and they are fourth in the NL West behind the Dodgers, Padres, and Diamondbacks. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 148 runs with a .240 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Thairo Estrada is batting .248 with six home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco is 25th in team ERA this year and they have allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 3-1 with a 2.79 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 29.0 innings pitched this year. Lodolo has allowed one earned or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow four earned runs to the Orioles in his last start. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Mason Black, who is 0-1 with a 10.38 ERA and a 2.54 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this season. Black allowed five earned runs, eight hits, and three walks in 4.1 innings against the Phillies in his first start. 

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Giants' last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Thairo Estrada has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one Single in each of the Giants' last seven games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Giants as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Lodolo has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in four of the Reds' last five road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as road favorites.
  • Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road favorite.
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
  • Nick Lodolo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds' last five games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Francisco Giants rank 29th in the league for steals this season (13).
  • The San Francisco Giants rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (349).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (260).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.212).

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 

Both of these teams have really struggled over the past few weeks, but Cincinnati was able to open up the series with a nice win on Friday night. The Reds have not hit the ball very well this season, but they will go against Mason Black, who was shelled in his first start against Philadelphia. Cincinnati is starting Nick Lodolo, who has been very sharp this year and should have a solid outing against a weak San Francisco lineup. My Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Reds to get the win in game two. 

David’s Pick Reds ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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