Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

Pittsburgh Pirates (17-21) vs Chicago Cubs (22-16)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:05 pm (PNC Park)

None None (0-0) (0.00) vs Justin Steele (0-0) (0.96)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -118 / Chicago Cubs +100 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Chicago Cubs and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send out Justin Steele as Steele makes his return from the IL. Steele is 0-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Pittsburgh, Steele is 1-2 with a 5.84 ERA and 29 strikeouts. Paul Skenes will make his MLB debut for the Pirates on Saturday after being selected 1st overall in the 2023 draft.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs will try to build some momentum after starting the series with a 7-2 win over Pittsburgh on Friday. The win for Chicago was a step in the right direction after a series loss to the Padres to start the week.

Cubs Inconsistent At The Dish

Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with 40 hits, 11 doubles and a .270 batting average, while Christopher Morel has a team-high 8 home runs and 25 RBIs. Michael Busch has 7 homers with 19 RBIs but also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Cubs with 50 strikeouts as well this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pirates will try to rebound after their frustrating series-opening loss to the Cubs on Friday, failing to bounce back after a series loss to the lowly Angels to start the week themselves.

Pirates Struggling At The Plate In Their Own Right

Bryan Reynolds has a team-high 36 hits with 4 home runs and 17 RBIs while Ke’Bryan Hayes has 31 hits with 7 doubles. Oneil Cruz has a team-high 51 strikeouts and 3 stolen bases while Connor Joe has a team-high 9 doubles with 15 RBIs and a .288 batting average. Jared Triolo has 3 stolen bases of his own as well this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Joey Bart has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jack Suwinski has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Pirates' last seven day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Connor Joe has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against the Cubs.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ji-Hwan Bae has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances.
  • Ian Happ has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs' last seven games against the Pirates.
  • Justin Steele has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances in day games.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs' last 10 games against the Pirates.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Justin Steele has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one Single in each of his eight previous Saturday appearances against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Mike Tauchman ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.409) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (27).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.327).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (9).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T6th in the league for walks this season (141).

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

I’m on the under here. I’m stoked to see what Skenes is going to bring to the table after being nothing short of dominant and electric in AAA this season. The Pirates have also had issues against lefties as of late, so Justin Steele should have a bit of an easier task ahead of him in his return to the Cubs’ rotation. On the other side, the Cubs haven’t been all that consistent themselves in the batter’s box in recent weeks, and I think this could end up being a really solid pitching matchup and potentially even a pitcher’s duel. I’ll side with the under here.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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