Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

New York Mets (18-18) vs Atlanta Braves (22-12)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Citi Field)

Christian Scott (0-0) (1.35) vs Max Fried (2-1) (4.23)

Betting Odds: New York Mets +144 / Atlanta Braves -169 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance

• The New York Mets recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves vs Mets

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves vs Mets game

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Braves played a pair of games versus the Boston Red Sox this week. Atlanta managed wins in both those outings 4-2 and 5-0. On Friday in the series opener versus the Mets, the Braves posted all of their runs in the third inning during a 4-2 win. Charlie Morton put up 7.0 innings with one earned run on three hits and one walk as starter.

In the starting role for the Braves on Saturday it’ll be Max Fried. This year Fried is 2-1 with a 4.23 ERA in seven starts. He has 32 Ks in 38.1 innings total. Fried carries a career record of 64-27 with a 3.09 ERA in 146 games (129 starts).

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they did pretty well versus the St. Louis Cardinals in their two games this week (with one rainout). New York won both games 4-3 and 7-5. In the Friday game, the Mets were out-hit 7-4. Starter Jose Quintana managed 5.0 innings, four earned, six hits and two walks.

It’ll be Christian Scott in the starting pitcher role for the Mets on Saturday. This year Scott has just one start under his belt (the first MLB start of his career), going 6.2 innings with one earned run.

Braves vs Mets Injury Notes

Braves RP Pierce Johnson (elbow) began throwing off a mound on Friday.

Mets RP Drew Smith is scheduled for an appearance with Triple-A Syracuse on Saturday. RP Brooks Raley (elbow) is reportedly not close to throwing.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has hit at least one home run in four of the Mets' last seven home games against NL East opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Starling Marte has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Saturday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Starling Marte has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Pete Alonso ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in seven of his last eight Saturday day appearances.
  • Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last nine games as road favorites against the Mets.
  • Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 14 games against the Mets.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves' last 14 games against the Mets.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adam Duvall has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Austin Riley has recorded a Double in each of the Braves' last three road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in 14 of the Braves' last 15 games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank T29th in the league for triples this season (1).
  • The New York Mets rank T29th in the league for walks allowed this season (165).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (133).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (73).

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction

I’ll stick with the Braves. Fried needs a good showing after a shaky loss in his last appearance, though. Fried gave up four earned on four hits and three walks in 7.0 innings versus the Dodgers on May 5. Prior to that however, Fried had zero earned runs on three hits and two walks in 15.0 total frames across two starts.

On Friday Atlanta really only had one breakout inning at the plate; Morton and the pen did most of the heavy lifting in the victory. I like the Braves to carry the momentum into the weekend.

Andrew’s Pick Atlanta Braves -169

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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