Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

Baltimore Orioles (24-12) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (18-20)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

John Means (1-0) (0.00) vs Ryne Nelson (2-2) (5.23)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -156 / Arizona Diamondbacks +131 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks recent form and player performance

• The Baltimore Orioles recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Diamondbacks and Orioles

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Diamondbacks vs Orioles game

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Diamondbacks played the Cincinnati Reds in their early-week series and did well. Arizona took a sweep in that one with wins 6-2, 4-3 and 5-4. On Friday versus the Orioles, the Diamondbacks fell into an early 2-0 hole and eventually lost 4-2. Starting pitcher Brandon Pfaadt finished with 6.0 innings, three earned, five hits and two walks.

In the starter slot for the Diamondbacks on Saturday it’ll be Ryne Nelson. This year over his five starts Nelson is 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA and 16 Ks in 20.2 innings. Over his career Nelson is 11-11 with a 4.92 ERA in 37 games (35 starts).

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they took on the Washington Nationals in a pair of games this week. Baltimore lost 3-0 on Tuesday but came back for a 7-6 win in the Wednesday matchup. On Friday the O’s got one hit from seven different players. Cole Irvin went 5.2 innings as starter with two earned on five hits and a walk.

It’ll be John Means in the starting pitcher role for the Orioles on Saturday. So far this year Means has just one start, a win with 7.0 clean frames versus the Reds. Means is 22-26 with a 3.67 career ERA in 75 games (70 starts).

Diamondbacks vs Orioles Injury Notes

Diamondbacks SP Eduardo Rodriguez is close to beginning a throwing program. An MRI on Rodriguez’s left shoulder showed some healing.

Orioles 2B Connor Norby came out of Friday’s game at Triple-A Norfolk due to a left wrist injury.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles' last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • John Means has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit a home run in three of the Orioles' last four day games.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Single in each of his six previous home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in 10 of the Orioles' last 11 games against opponents that held a losing record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Ketel Marte has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks' last two games against AL East opponents.
  • Christian Walker has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks' last four day games.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded two or more total bases in each of his five previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Orioles.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 road appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has scored a run in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one Double in four of the Diamondbacks' last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (57).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.440).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (292).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (71).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’ll probably just stick with the O’s here. Means did very well in his return to the mound on May 4 versus the Reds. In that outing Means lasted 7.0 innings with three hits, no earned, no walks and eight strikeouts. As for Nelson, he’s coming off a shaky outing against the Padres with four earned in 5.0 innings—still a win, though.

In the Friday matchup the Orioles spread their offense among a host of different players. The pitching staff did most of the work however, all things considered. I like Baltimore to keep things rolling in game two.

Andrew’s Pick Baltimore Orioles -156

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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