Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 5/10/24

Toronto Blue Jays (17-20) vs Minnesota Twins (22-15)

Game Info: Friday, May 10, 2024 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Yusei Kikuchi (2-2) (2.72) vs Joe Ryan (1-2) (3.76)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -120 / Minnesota Twins +100 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 10th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Twins recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Blue Jays recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and Toronto 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Minnesota and Toronto 

Twins are Charging in the AL Central 

The Minnesota Twins are 22-15 this season and they have won 15 of their last 17 games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won three out of four games and scored 17 runs in games three and four. Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against Boston, swept the White Sox in three games, and swept the Angels. Minnesota started the season playing poorly, but they are now second in the AL Central behind the Guardians. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 179 runs with a .241 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Edouard Julien is batting .205 with seven home runs and 15 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored at least five runs in six of their last nine games. 

Blue Jays Looking for Answers

The Toronto Blue Jays are 17-20 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. Toronto is coming off of a series split with the Phillies, where they won one game and lost one game. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against Washington, lost two out of three against the Royals, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. Toronto has won two games in a row only once in their last 16 games and they are now last in the AL East behind the Rays

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.64 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 134 runs with a .228 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .246 with four home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto is 27th in the MLB in runs scored and they have scored three runs or fewer in 10 of their last 14 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 1-2 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 40.2 innings pitched this year. Ryan has allowed three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 2-2 with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this year. Kikuchi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. 

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Danny Jansen has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yusei Kikuchi has recorded eight strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Friday night appearances.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against the Twins.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays' last six games as home favorites.
  • Yusei Kikuchi has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays' last five games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in three of the Twins' last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 Friday appearances.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one Double in four of the Twins' last five games against AL opponents.
  • Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Ryan Jeffers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.631) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for RBI's this season (124).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (48).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (79).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (377).

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this series as one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last two weeks and they are 11-7 on the road. Toronto has not had a good start to the year, but they are 8-7 at home and are looking for their second straight win here. Minnesota is going with Joe Ryan, who has been solid this season, but he hasn’t been great. Toronto is going with Kikuchi, who has done a very good job of limiting runs. I don’t love it, but my Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for the Blue Jays to win at home. 

David’s Pick Blue Jays ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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