Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 5/10/24

Detroit Tigers (19-18) vs Houston Astros (12-24)

Game Info: Friday, May 10, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Comerica Park)

Casey Mize (1-1) (3.98) vs Framber Valdez (1-1) (3.97)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +107 / Houston Astros -127 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 10th at Comerica Park.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Astros recent form and recent player performance 

-The Tigers recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit

-Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Detroit

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Astros and Tigers.

Astros Finally Pick Up Another Win

The Astros haven’t had many wins this season, but they are coming off a win on Thursday. The Astros pitching stepped up and they ended up winning 4-3. Jon Singleton had a strong game finishing with a home run and two RBIs. The Astros are averaging 4.39 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.28 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league while the pitching is ranked 27th. They currently have a run differential of -0.89 which is 23rd in the league. Kyle Tucker has hit 11 home runs and driven in 25 RBIs so far this season. 

Valdez Looks to Bounce Back

Getting the start for the Astros will be Framber Valdez who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 3.97. In his last start against the Seattle Mariners, he went 5.1 innings giving up nine hits and five runs. The Astros are going to need a lot better start out of him to find success. 

Tigers Suddenly Slumping

The Tigers are suddenly slumping and coming into this game they have lost five of the last six games. On Wednesday the Tigers faced off against the Cleveland Guardians and they were defeated 5-4. They gave up one run in the 8th, 9th, and 10th inning and that led to the defeat. Colt Keith did have a solid game finishing with one hit and two RBIs. The Tigers are averaging 4.03 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.86 runs per game. The offense is ranked 21st in the league while the defense is ranked 10th. They currently have a run differential of 0.16 which is 16th in the league. Riley Greene has hit nine home runs and driven in 17 RBIs. Getting the start for the Tigers will be Casey Mize who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 3.98. In his last start against the New York Yankees, he went 5.1 innings giving up nine hits and five runs. 

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Riley Greene has hit a home run in two of the Tigers' last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mark Canha has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
  • Riley Greene has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers' last seven night games.
  • Casey Mize has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his 10 previous appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Riley Greene has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers' last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Astros.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Astros.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against the Astros.
  • Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in three of the Astros' last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against the Tigers.
  • Jose Abreu has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded a Double in three of the Astros' last four games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Victor Caratini has scored at least one run in six of his seven previous road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Chas McCormick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Chas McCormick has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros' last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded a win in five of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Kyle Tucker ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (9).
  • The Detroit Tigers rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
  • The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (243).
  • The Houston Astros rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.00).

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Mieze struggled in his last start, but the Yankees are a whole different animal than the Astros. This Astros offense has been inconsistent, and they are going to really struggle in this game against Mize. The Tigers' offense will go over their season average of 4.03 and that is going to be enough for them to get the job done. Look for a 5-2 or 5-3 game and the Tigers are going to get the job done. Back the Tigers on the money line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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