Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 5/10/24

New York Mets (18-18) vs Atlanta Braves (22-12)

Game Info: Friday, May 10, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Jose Quintana (1-3) (5.20) vs Charlie Morton (2-0) (3.50)

Betting Odds: New York Mets +130 / Atlanta Braves -150 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 10th at Citi Field in New York. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Braves recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Mets recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Atlanta and New York
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Atlanta and New York

Braves Looking to Make Up Ground in the NL East 

The Atlanta Braves are 22-12 this year and they have lost five of their last eight games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Boston, where they won both games by scores of 4-2 and 5-0. Prior to that series, the Braves were swept by the Dodgers, lost two out of three against Seattle, and won two out of three against Cleveland. Atlanta was dominated in that series with the Dodgers, but they bounced back against Boston and will try to catch the Phillies in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 172 runs with a .257 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .315 with 12 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last eight games. 

Mets Trying to Get Back to .500 at Home 

The New York Mets are 18-18 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series win against the Cardinals, where they won both games by scores of 4-3 and 7-5, before game three was postponed. Prior to that series, the Mets were swept by the Rays, split a four game set with the Cubs, and lost two out of three against St. Louis. New York has lost 10 of their last 16 games, but they are tied for third in the NL East behind the Phillies and Braves. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .223 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 161 runs with a .241 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .212 with nine home runs and 19 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has allowed at least five runs in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this year. Morton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 36.1 innings pitched this season. Quintana has allowed at least five earned runs in two of his last three starts. 

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in each of the Mets' last two games as underdogs.
  • Starling Marte has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Brett Baty has scored a run in each of his last five appearances with the Mets as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Pete Alonso ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves' last eight games as favorites against the Mets.
  • Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last eight games as road favorites against the Mets.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 13 games against the Mets.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves' last 13 games against the Mets.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in 13 of the Braves' last 14 games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Sean Murphy has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Mets.
  • Michael Harris has recorded a Double in three of the Braves' last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (161).
  • The New York Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (23).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (131).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (73).

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this series trailing in the NL East standings, which is a surprise after recent years of domination in the division. The Braves are 9-8 on the road and they are starting Charlie Morton, who has been very good in his last three outings. New York is 9-10 at home and they have been very inconsistent through their first 36 games. The Mets are going with Jose Quintana, who was shelled by the Rays and Giants in recent appearances. My Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets prediction is for the Braves to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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