Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 5/7/24

Philadelphia Phillies (24-11) vs Toronto Blue Jays (16-19)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Cristopher Sanchez (1-3) (3.38) vs Jose Berrios (4-2) (1.44)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -132 / Toronto Blue Jays +111 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

In this article, we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 7th at Citizens Bank Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Blue Jays recent form and recent player performance 

-The Phillies recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Philadelphia

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Blue Jays and Phillies.

Blue Jays Pitching Looks to Bounce Back

The Blue Jays faced off against the Washington Nationals in the last game and the offense scored eight runs in that game, but the pitching gave up 11 runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr had a strong game hitting a home run and driving in four RBIs. Alek Manoah was on the mound and he went four innings giving up six hits and six runs. The Blue Jays are averaging 3.66 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.71 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th in the league while the defense is ranked 21st. They currently have a negative run differential of -1.06 runs per game. Daulton Varsho has hit six home runs and driven in 16 RBIs. Getting the start for the Blue Jays will be Jose Berrios who sits with a 4-2 record and an ERA of 1.44. In his last start against the Kansas City Royals, he went seven innings giving up five hits and two runs. 

Phillies Look Good on Monday

The Phillies used good pitching on Monday to find success and that led to the 6-1 victory. Zack Wheeler had a strong start going seven innings giving up four hits and zero earned runs. The Phillies are averaging 4.91 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.77 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th in the league while the pitching is ranked 8th in the league. They have an average run differential of 1.43 which is 7th in the league. Kyle Schwarber has hit eight home runs and driven in 21 RBis. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Cristopher Sanchez who sits with a 1-3 record and an ERA of 3.68. In his last start against the Los Angeles Angels, he went five innings giving up seven hits and four runs. 

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of the Phillies' last two games as favorites.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Phillies' last nine night games.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded two or more hits in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Double in six of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Alec Bohm ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.349) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
  • Danny Jansen has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays' last nine road games.
  • Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last nine road games.
  • Justin Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jose Berrios ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.44) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (346).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (46).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank T27th in the league for RBI's this season (118).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Prediction

Berrios has been strong all season and they are going to continue that here. Berrios sits with an ERA of 1.44 and he’s going to really step up here. Sanchez is coming off a start where he gave up four runs and he’s going to really struggle here. The Blue Jays are going to score at least four runs off of him here, and that will be the difference here. Back the Blue Jays on the run line to cash here. 

Shane’s Pick Blue Jays -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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