Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 5/7/24

Cleveland Guardians (23-12) vs Detroit Tigers (18-17)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 6:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Logan Allen (3-2) (5.11) vs Kenta Maeda (1-1) (5.02)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -125 / Detroit Tigers +105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 7th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Tigers recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit and Cleveland
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Detroit and Cleveland

Tigers are Trying to Snap the Losing Streak 

The Detroit Tigers are 18-17 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Detroit lost game one in this series, as their only offense came from a leadoff home run by Riley Greene. Prior to this series, the Tigers were swept by the Yankees and won two out of three against the Cardinals and Royals. Detroit has a very good pitching staff, but their offense has been pretty bad this year and they are now fourth in the AL Central behind the Guardians, Twins, and Royals. Detroit is 10 games better than the White Sox for fourth in the division. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 134 runs with a .223 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .266 with nine home runs and 17 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit is in the bottom third of the MLB for runs scored and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last four games. 

Cleveland Pulling Away in the AL Central 

The Cleveland Guardians are 23-12 this year and they have won three games in a row. Cleveland won the first game in this series by a score of 2-1 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Angels but lost two out of three against Houston and Atlanta. Cleveland is leading the AL Central by three games over the Twins and Royals, despite splitting their last ten games. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.34 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 170 runs with a .242 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .230 with seven home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has the eighth best team ERA and they are sixth in the MLB in runs scored, and they have allowed one run in each of their last three games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Kenta Maeda, who is 1-1 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this year. Maeda has allowed one earned run and seven hits over his last two starts (11.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 3-2 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched this season. Allen has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. 

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in four of the Guardians' last five home games.
  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in four of the Guardians' last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Guardians' last eight games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians' last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians' last seven games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kenta Maeda has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Guardians.
  • Javier Baez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Javier Baez has recorded a Single in each of the Tigers' last four games at Progressive Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Riley Greene has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers' last six night games.
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers' last four road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (330).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 6th in the league for strikeouts against this season (269).
  • The Detroit Tigers rank T1st in the league for triples this season (9).
  • The Detroit Tigers rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.22).

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Detroit comes into this game really struggling in their last four games, but they have had leads in most of those losses. The Tigers have a very solid pitching staff, but the offense continues to let them down. Cleveland is first in the AL Central, but they haven’t been great over the last two weeks. The Guardians are starting Logan Allen, who I don’t care for as a starting pitcher. Detroit is going with Kenta Maeda, who has bad numbers on the season, but he is known to be a solid pitcher as May comes around. My Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Tigers to win on the road. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Tuesday 6/25/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss