Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 5/7/24

Atlanta Braves (20-12) vs Boston Red Sox (19-16)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Reynaldo Lopez (2-1) (1.50) vs Kutter Crawford (2-1) (1.56)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -170 / Boston Red Sox +145 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 7th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Braves recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Atlanta
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Atlanta

Boston Looking for Consistent Offense 

The Boston Red Sox are 19-16 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Boston is coming off of a series loss against the Twins, where they lost two out of three games, but did score nine runs on Sunday. Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Giants and Cubs, but lost two out of three against Cleveland. Boston has been up and down offensively and they are third in the AL East behind the Orioles and Yankees. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 2.61 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and a .222 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 162 runs with a .246 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .262 with one home run and 15 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored 9, 1, 2, 1, 6, 4, 5, and 17 runs in their last eight games, so we don’t really know what we are going to get from this offense. 

Braves are Reeling

The Atlanta Braves are 20-12 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. Atlanta is coming off of a series loss against the Dodgers, where they lost all three games and were out scored 20-6. Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against Seattle, but won two out of three against Cleveland and swept the Marlins. Atlanta is licking their wounds after being dominated by the Dodgers, but they are still second in the NL East, just three games behind Philadelphia. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 163 runs with a .257 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .306 with 10 home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Braves this year. Atlanta has a very talented lineup, but they have scored three runs or fewer in five of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 40.1 innings pitched this year. Crawford has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow three earned runs and 10 hits to the Cubs on April 26th. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Reynaldo Lopez, who is 2-1 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 30.0 innings pitched this season. Lopez has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves' last five Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances at Truist Park.
  • Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances at Truist Park.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jarred Kelenic has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
  • Travis d'Arnaud has recorded at least one Single in each of his seven previous appearances against the Red Sox after not playing the previous day.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O'Neill has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox's last four games.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Trevor Story has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park.
  • Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Red Sox's last seven games against NL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances at Truist Park.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
  • Kutter Crawford ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.56) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (72).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (267).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank T1st in the league for triples this season (9).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.61).

Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Atlanta comes into this series struggling over the last week, but they are 11-4 at home and still have one of the best records in the MLB. On the other side, Boston is 12-7 on the road and they have the best team ERA in the league. Boston is starting Kutter Crawford, who has been great so far this year. Atlanta is going with Reynaldo Lopez, who has also had a fantastic start to the year. The pitching matchup seems to be a wash, but I trust Atlanta’s offense much more than Boston’s. My Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Braves to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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