Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 5/7/24

Cincinnati Reds (16-18) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (15-20)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Frankie Montas (2-2) (4.19) vs Zac Gallen (3-2) (3.38)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +105 / Arizona Diamondbacks -125 --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: BALLY

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks recent form and player performance

• The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Diamondbacks and Reds

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Diamondbacks vs Reds game

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Diamondbacks are coming off a weekend series versus the San Diego Padres. In that matchup Arizona lost the first pair 7-1 and 13-1 before staving off the sweep with an 11-4 victory in the finale. During that Sunday victory the Diamondbacks got a home run and two RBI from both Ketel Marte and Joe Pederson.

In the Tuesday opener versus the Reds, the Diamondbacks will send out Zac Gallen to start. This year in six starts Gallen is 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 35 strikeouts over 32.0 innings of work. Gallen is 42-33 with a 3.22 ERA in 121 starts.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. Cincinnati didn’t have any luck in that one, dropping all three games 3-0, 2-1 and 11-1 for a sweep. In the Sunday game, the Reds’ only RBI came from Jake Fraley. Starter Nick Lodolo lasted 5.0 innings with four earned runs on four hits and two walks.

As starting pitcher on Tuesday it’ll be the Reds’ Frankie Montas. This year Montas is 2-2 with a 4.19 ERA in five starts. He’s got 14 strikeouts in 19.1 innings. Montas has a 39-37 career record with a 3.91 ERA in 135 games (104 starts).

Diamondbacks vs Reds Injury Notes

Diamondbacks SS Geraldo Perdomo (knee) is expected to start hitting this week.

Reds CF TJ Friedl (wrist) was the subject of a call among management Sunday evening to discuss a potential return.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds' last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Single in each of the Reds' last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in three of the Reds' last four night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds' last five night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances with the Reds against NL opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks' last six games against the Reds.
  • Randal Grichuk has recorded a Double in each of the Diamondbacks' last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last 15 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Pavin Smith has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Diamondbacks' last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one total base in each of the Diamondbacks' last 15 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (230).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank T1st in the league for steals this season (57).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (255).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’ll stay with the Diamondbacks. Probably not touching this one, though. Neither team played all that well over the weekend. Arizona will need a good start from Gallen, who has lost his last two starts with eight combined earned runs in 10.0 innings during that pair. As for Montas, he was fortunate enough to avoid any significant injury after taking a line drive off his forearm in his last start on April 21 versus the Angels after just three batters. Montas went 0-2 with eight earned in 7.0 innings prior to that, however.

If the Diamondbacks can generate a few early runs here like they did on Sunday versus the Padres, Arizona will be in great shape.

Andrew’s Pick Arizona Diamondbacks -125

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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