New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 5/5/24

Tampa Bay Rays (15-18) vs New York Mets (16-16)

Game Info: Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 1:40 pm (Tropicana Field)

Ryan Pepiot (3-2) (3.12) vs Luis Severino (2-2) (3.09)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -122 / New York Mets +103 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 5th at Tropicana Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Mets recent form and recent player performance 

-The Rays recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Tampa Bay. 

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Mets and Rays. 

Mets Struggled on Saturday

The Mets haven’t looked good this season and they really struggled on Saturday. The Mets offense scored only one run and that led to the two run defeat. Starling Marte was the only bright spot for the Mets finishing with two hits and one RBI. Christian Scott got the start, and he went 6.2 innings giving up five hits and one earned run. The Mets are averaging 3.64 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.27 runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th in the league while the defense is ranked 16th. Even with the bad record they still do have a positive run differential which is a bit surprising. Pete Alonso has hit eight home runs and driven in 16 RBIs. Getting the start for the Mets will be Luis Severino who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 2.31. In his last start against the Chicago Cubs, he dominated, going eight innings giving up one hit and one run. 

Rays Look for Series Sweep

The Rays have looked good in this series and each game was won a different way. In the first game, it was the offense that impressed and in the last game the pitching really stepped up. On Saturday Zach Littell was good going six innings giving up six hits and one earned run. The Rays overall are averaging 3.91 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.06 runs per game. The offense is ranked 21st in the league while the defense is ranked 26th. The Rays will face the White Sox following this series.

Parades Has Been A Bright Spot This Season

Isaac Paredes has seven home runs and 18 RBI so far this season. Getting the start for the Rays will be Ryan Pepiot who sits with a 3-2 and an ERA of 3.12. Over his last three starts, he has gone 18 innings and given up only two runs total. 

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Siri has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Harold Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his nine previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays' last seven home games.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Jose Caballero ranks T8th in the league in Steals (9) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets' last five games against the Rays.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets' last six road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jeff McNeil has scored at least one run in each of the Mets' last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Luis Severino has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against the Rays.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets' last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Single in seven of his eight previous appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Double in each of the Mets' last three games.
  • Pete Alonso ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank T29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (44).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 27th in the league for hits allowed this season (295).
  • The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (146).
  • The New York Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (19).

New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Mets offense scored only one run on Saturday, and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going here. Pepiot has dominated for the Rays heading into this game and the Mets aren’t going to find a lot of success knocking him off here. The Mets are going to look terrible here, and this is going to be a very comfortable victory here by the Rays. Back the Rays on the money line to cash here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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