Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 5/5/24

St. Louis Cardinals (15-18) vs Chicago White Sox (7-26)

Game Info: Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 2:15 pm (Busch Stadium)

Kyle Gibson (2-2) (3.79) vs Garrett Crochet (1-4) (5.97)

Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -182 / Chicago White Sox +153 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 5th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. To formulate this prediction for game three in this series, we will examine:

  • The White Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cardinals recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and St. Louis
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and St. Louis 

White Sox Trying to Find Positives

The Chicago White Sox are 7-26 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Chicago lost game one in this series on Friday, but they did win game two by a score of 6-5. Prior to this series, the White Sox were swept by the Twins, but did sweep the Rays before that. Chicago has shown some signs of life over their last eight games, but they are already 14 games back in the AL Central.

The Chicago pitching staff has a 5.08 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 95 runs with a .209 batting average and a .272 on base percentage. Andrew Benintendi is batting .195 with three home runs and 13 RBI’s for the White Sox this year. Chicago is dead last in runs scored this season, but they have scored at least five runs in five of their last eight games. 

Cardinals Need to Take Advantage

The St. Louis Cardinals are 15-18 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. St. Louis won game one of this series by a score of 3-0, but lost game two on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Cardinals lost two out of three against Detroit and won two out of three against the Mets. St. Louis is fourth in the NL Central behind the Brewers, Cubs, and Reds, and they need to take advantage of playing a bad team like Chicago by getting a series win here. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 117 runs with a .217 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Nolan Arenado is batting .296 with two home runs and 19 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis is second to last in runs scored in the MLB, but they still have 22 more runs than the White Sox. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Garrett Crochet, who is 1-4 with a 5.97 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 34.2 innings pitched this year. Crochet has allowed 19 earned runs over his last four starts (16.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Kyle Gibson, who is 2-2 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this season. Gibson has allowed one earned run in each of his last three starts (19 IP). 

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals' last 18 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Cardinals' last nine day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cardinals' last 18 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Gibson has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in day games.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Cardinals' last seven home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded at least one Double in three of the Cardinals' last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Gibson has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the White Sox.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Robert has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Luis Robert has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Robert has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances with the White Sox against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The St. Louis Cardinals rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (117).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (22).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (95).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for hits this season (224).

Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 

St. Louis comes into this matchup trying to avoid an embarrassing series loss to the White Sox, after losing a crazy game on Saturday afternoon. Chicago is just 2-14 on the road this season, but they are trying to put back to back wins together here. Both teams have been really bad offensively, but St. Louis has the pitching advantage. Gibson has been very strong in his last few outings, while Crochet has been shelled over his last four starts. My Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction is for the Cardinals to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Cardinals -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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