Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 5/5/24

Minnesota Twins (18-13) vs Boston Red Sox (18-15)

Game Info: Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 2:10 pm (Target Field)

Joe Ryan (1-1) (3.63) vs Cooper Criswell (2-1) (1.65)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -161 / Boston Red Sox +135 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 5th at Target Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 

-The Twins recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota

-Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Minnesota

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Red Sox and Twins. 

Twins Look for 13th Straight Win

The Twins have won 12 straight games heading into this game, including the first two games of this series. On Saturday the Twins had another good pitching performance and that was enough for the 3-1 victory. Pablo Lopez looked like the dominant pitcher they had last year going six innings giving up five hits and one run. Carlos Correa didn’t have a hit but he drove in two runs. The Twins on the season is averaging 4.72 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.09 runs per game. The offense is ranked 11th while the pitching is ranked 14th. Ryan Jeffers has hit five home runs and driven in 21 RBIs. 

Ryan Needs to be Good

Getting the start for the Twins will be Joe Ryan who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 3.38. In his last start against the White Sox, he went six innings giving up six hits and two runs. If the Twins want to win their 13th straight win, they are going to need Ryan to be good. 

Red Sox Looks to Salvage One 

The Red Sox haven’t looked good in this series and at this point all they can hope is to get one. On Saturday the Red Sox offense really struggled only scoring a run and that led to the defeat. They used a bullpen game on Saturday so there has to be some concern about how well-rested the bullpen will be if they have to go there early in this game. That fact makes it even more important that the pitching is good here early. The Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.5 runs per game. The offense is ranked 15th while the pitching is ranked 4th. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Cooper Criswell and coming into this game he sits a 2-1 record and an ERA of 1.65. In his last start against the San Francisco Giants, he went five innings giving up two hits and zero runs. 

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Max Kepler has hit a home run in three of the Twins' last five games against the Red Sox.
  • Jose Miranda has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as favorites.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O'Neill has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Tyler O'Neill has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last eight appearances in day games.
  • Tyler O'Neill has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games.
  • Tyler O'Neill has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in day games.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one Single in five of his six previous appearances against the Twins.
  • Tyler O'Neill has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox's last three day games.
  • Triston Casas has scored a run in each of his last eight Sunday appearances.
  • Tyler O'Neill ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.629) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins rank T1st in the league for walks allowed this season (82).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (316).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (339).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.63).

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

There were only four runs scored on Saturday, and it’s going to be much of the same here. Criswell and Ryan have both looked impressive so far this season, and they are both going to lockdown here. Both pitchers are going to get into a good old-fashioned pitchers duel, and that is going to be the difference here. Look for the Red Sox and Twins to both struggle to score and that will be the difference here as this game is going to stay under the total. Pick the under. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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