Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 5/4/24

Washington Nationals (16-16) vs Toronto Blue Jays (15-18)

Game Info: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 4:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Jake Irvin (2-2) (4.28) vs Kevin Gausman (1-3) (4.50)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +140 / Toronto Blue Jays -165 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 4th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Blue Jays recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Nationals recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Washington
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Toronto and Washington

Toronto is Fading in the AL East

The Toronto Blue Jays are 15-18 this season and they have lost eight of their last 10 games. Prior to losing game one in this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three to the Royals, two out of three to the Dodgers, and three out of four to the Royals. Toronto has really struggled over the last two weeks and they are now tied for last in the AL East, trailing Baltimore, New York, and Boston. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .259 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 114 runs with a .225 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Daulton Varsho is batting .227 with six home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has had some issues scoring consistently this year and they have scored two runs or fewer in seven of their last ten games. 

Washington is Hot

The Washington Nationals are 16-16 this year and they have won six of their last eight games. Washington won game one in the series by a score of 9-3 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Nationals lost two out of three against Texas and swept the Marlins in four games. Washington has done a good job of battling so far this year and they are tied for third in the NL East with the Mets

The Washington pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and a .272 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 128 runs with a .232 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .280 with seven home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington has been up and down at the plate this year, but they have scored at least seven runs in four of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this year. Gausman has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts, but did allow 11 earned runs in the two previous starts. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 33.2 innings pitched this year. Irvin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow six earned runs and 12 hits to the Dodgers two starts ago. 

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals' last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Double in four of the Nationals' last five day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Joey Meneses has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Victor Robles has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Joey Gallo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • CJ Abrams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.576) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Blue Jays' last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances in day games.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents .
  • Danny Jansen has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances.
  • Danny Jansen has scored a run in each of his last five appearances.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Nationals rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (54).
  • The Washington Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.272).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.259).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (43).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Toronto comes into this game looking to get back on the right track after losing eight of their last ten games, but they will face a Washington team that is playing well right now. The Nationals are just 5-8 at home this year, but Toronto is 7-11 on the road. Kevin Gausman has pitched very well in his last three starts, but I still don’t trust him. For the Nationals, Jake Irvin has been solid for the most part and I think they can get the win. My Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals prediction is a Nationals victory. 

David’s Pick Nationals ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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