San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 5/4/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (14-18) vs San Diego Padres (16-18)

Game Info: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 8:10 pm (Chase Field)

Brandon Pfaadt (1-1) (4.63) vs Michael King (2-3) (5.00)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -115 / San Diego Padres -102 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Saturday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send Michael King to the mound here and is 2-3 with a 5.00 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. This will be King’s first career start against Arizona. Brandon Pfaadt will get the start for the Diamondbacks and is 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pfaadt is 1-1 with a 2.13 ERA and 13 strikeouts against San Diego.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to build on their 7-1 win over Arizona last time out. All of San Diego’s offense came in the 4th and 5th innings, with four runs in the 4th and another three in the 5th. It was a great start to the set for the Padres after their series win over the Reds to start the week.

Padres Have The Names, But Lack Consistent Production

Entering Friday, Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 38 hits along with a .342 batting average and 8 doubles with 4 homers and 21 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has a team-high 24 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 6 home runs this season. Manny Machado has 4 home runs and 16 RBIs but also has a team-high 30 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 26 hits with 2 triples, 4 doubles, 17 RBIs and a team-high 7 stolen bases.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael King Record this season: 2-3 ERA: 5.00
  • The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Padres and Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks struggled once again offensively, plating just the one run in their loss to San Diego on Friday, not the start the D-Backs were looking for after series losses to Seattle and St. Louis over the last week.

Diamondbacks Struggling Right Now

Going into Friday’s opener, Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 39 hits in addition to a .307 batting average and 11 doubles with 5 home runs and 15 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 5 home runs and a team-high 22 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 8 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has a team-high 36 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 7 home runs with 22 RBIs of his own this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 4.63
  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Padres have lost each of their last four games against NL West opponents following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against NL West opponents following a road win.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the over here. Michael King has struggled with the home run ball a lot this season and even with Arizona’s struggles, I think the Diamondbacks can plate a few runs here. I’m also not sold on Brandon Pfaadt, who has good stuff, but has looked a lot like the Pfaadt of the early part of last year where he struggled his way through to an eventual demotion. I think this is going to be an offensive clinic. Give me the over.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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