Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 5/4/24

Cincinnati Reds (16-15) vs Baltimore Orioles (20-11)

Game Info: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Andrew Abbott (1-3) (3.27) vs John Means (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -105 / Baltimore Orioles -112 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baltimore Orioles and the Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send John Means to the mound here and he will make his season debut after going 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 7 strikeouts last season. This will be Means’ first career start against Cincinnati. Andrew Abbott will get the start for the Reds here and is 1-3 with a 3.27 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. This will be Abbott’s second career start against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to build on their 3-0 win over Cincinnati in Friday’s series opener. That victory was another step in the right direction after winning their series against the Yankees to start the week. The Orioles did all of their damage in the 7th inning of their win against Cincinnati with Ryan O’ Hearn logging a 2-run home run and Adley Rutschman added an RBI as well.

Orioles Still Boast Loaded Lineup

Adley Rutschman leads the Orioles with 40 hits while Gunnar Henderson has 36 hits. Ryan Mountcastle has 8 doubles while Anthony Santander has a team-high 9 doubles and Henderson has a team-high 10 home runs, 24 RBIs, 3 triples and 37 strikeouts. Jordan Westburg also has 21 RBIs and Henderson and Cedric Mullins each have a team-high 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: John Means Record this season: - ERA: -
  • The Orioles have won each of their last 10 Saturday night games.
  • The Reds have lost eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Saturday night games as road favorites.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this one looking to bounce back after their disappointing showing in Friday’s series opener, as the Reds were held to just two hits as a team in the losing effort. It was far from ideal for the Reds after their back-to-back series losses to the Padres and Rangers over the last week.

Reds Have The Talent, But Have Been Inconsistent

Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 8 home runs and 29 hits as well as a .288 batting average along with 19 RBIs and 19 stolen bases while Spencer Steer has 28 hits and a team-high 22 RBIs with 8 doubles. Christian Encarnacion-Strand also has 6 doubles with 16 RBIs and Will Benson has a team-high 9 doubles but leads the Reds with 47 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 3.27
  • The Orioles have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Reds have won five of their last six games as home underdogs following a loss.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’m on the Orioles here. I get why the Reds would be worth a look in a spot like this, but they were stifled on Friday and John Means makes his return to the O’s lineup and Means has ace-level stuff, further bolstering an already solid Oriole rotation. Abbott has been hit or miss at times, and the Orioles have been one of the best lineups in baseball against lefties this season including in the last two weeks as well. I’ll side with the Orioles on Saturday.

Chris’s Pick Baltimore -112

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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