Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 5/3/24

Washington Nationals (15-15) vs Toronto Blue Jays (15-17)

Game Info: Friday, May 3, 2024 at 6:45 pm (Nationals Park)

Patrick Corbin (0-3) (6.82) vs Yusei Kikuchi (2-2) (2.94)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +156 / Toronto Blue Jays -170 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Blue Jays and the Washington Nationals meet Friday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Yusei Kikuchi for the start and he is 2-2 with a 2.94 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. This will be Kikuchi’s first career start against Washington. The Washington Nationals will trot out Patrick Corbin for the start here and Corbin is 0-3 with a 6.82 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 1-2 with a 5.82 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Toronto.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this one looking to bounce back after a third straight series loss after a 6-1 loss to the Royals in Wednesday’s series finale. That was Toronto’s second series loss against Kansas City in the last week and a half with a series loss to the Dodgers sandwiched in the middle. The game was competitive, sitting scoreless through five innings before KC broke the game open in the 6th and Toronto’s lone RBI from Danny Jansen wouldn’t be enough as KC piled on in the 7th.

Blue Jays Still Struggling Offensively

Justin Turner leads the Blue Jays with 28 hits in addition to a .298 batting average, .376 OBP, 4 home runs and team-highs of 8 doubles and 15 RBIs. Daulton Varsho has 6 homers with 14 RBIs and 6 doubles of his own while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 29 strikeouts with 3 home runs and 11 RBIs. Davis Schneider also has 3 home runs and 12 RBIs as well this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won seven of the Blue Jays' last eight games at Nationals Park.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last five night games against National League opponents.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this set looking to shake off their series loss to Texas, failing to build on their four-game sweep of the Miami Marlins in the previous series. Washington was shut out in Thursday’s series finale by a final score of 6-0 and the Nats were outhit 9-4 in the loss.

Nationals Inconsistent But Have Talented Youngsters

CJ Abrams leads the Nationals with 32 hits including 7 home runs and 17 RBIs with 6 doubles and 4 triples as well. Lane Thomas also has 10 RBIs and 11 stolen bases while Joey Gallo has 3 home runs, 5 doubles and a team-high 43 strikeouts. Trey Lipscomb has 5 stolen bases and Luis Garcia Jr. has a team-high 8 doubles and 5 stolen bases of his own. Jacob Young’s added 12 stolen bases and Jesse Winker also has 15 RBIs as well this season.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Blue Jays and Nationals at Nationals Park.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Blue Jays and Nationals at Nationals Park.

Blue Jays vs. Nationals Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays here. I know the Nationals provide a fair bit of value any time they take the field as an underdog, but it’s honestly hard for me to really find the value here because Patrick Corbin over the course of his career, has been batting practice for opposing teams more often than not. Yusei Kikuchi was one of the better turnaround stories in baseball last season and he’s been a really competent option for the Blue Jays this year, so I’ll side with the Jays for the bats to finally get going at Corbin’s expense.

Chris’s Pick Toronto -170

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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