San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 5/3/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (14-18) vs San Diego Padres (16-18)

Game Info: Friday, May 3, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

() () vs Dylan Cease (3-2) (2.78)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -104 / San Diego Padres -114 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Chase Field. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 16-18 this Eason after losses to the Phillies and Reds. The San Diego Padres have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The San Diego Padres have won 9 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 38 hits and 21 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 61 hits and 41 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 14-18 this season after losses to the Mariners and Dodgers. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 8 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 39 hits and 15 RBI, while Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 63 hits and 44 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Dylan Cease gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Cease has allowed 9 earned runs and 15 hits in his last 31 innings. Cease has a 1.89 ERA and .115 allowed abutting average on the road. This will be Cease’s second career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Slade Cecconi gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Cecconi has allowed 5 hits and 3 runs through 12 innings. This will be Cecconi’s seventh career start, as he has just 39 MLB innings under his belt. This will be Cecconi’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks' last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks' last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Diamondbacks' last eight home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ketel Marte has scored at least one run in 14 of his last 15 appearances with the Diamondbacks as home favorites against NL opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks after not playing the previous day.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded three or more hits in four of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks after not playing the previous day.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres' last six Friday night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Padres' last four games against NL opponents.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against the Diamondbacks after not playing the previous day.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres' last six games as underdogs.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Diamondbacks after not playing the previous day.
  • Jurickson Profar ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.431) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (162).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (163).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (285).

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The Arizona Diamondbacks continue to have offensive issues, and they're hard to trust most nights. Slade Cecconi is also still wet behind the ears on the big league level, and I'm not running to the window to back him until we get a larger sample size. The San Diego Padres have the talent to put a run together, and Dylan Cease has been sharp up to this point. Cease has been great on the road, with an ERA under 2 and a .115 allowed batting average. The price is cheap. Give me the Padres on the road.

Randy’s Pick San Diego Padres -114

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