Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 5/3/24

Chicago Cubs (19-13) vs Milwaukee Brewers (19-11)

Game Info: Friday, May 3, 2024 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Hayden Wesneski (2-0) (0.87) vs Joe Ross (1-3) (5.40)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -130 / Milwaukee Brewers +110 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 3rd at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Brewers recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Milwaukee and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Milwaukee and Chicago

Milwaukee Looking for Three Straight

The Milwaukee Brewers are 19-11 this season and they have won five of their last eight games. Milwaukee is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Yankees and split a four game set with the Pirates. Milwaukee is currently leading the NL Central, but the Cubs and Reds are right behind them. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 157 runs with a .259 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .278 with six home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee has been decent with their pitching staff, but their numbers are slightly blown out due to allowing 30 runs to the Yankees in games two and three last week. 

Cubs are HOT at Home 

The Chicago Cubs are 19-13 this year and they have lost four of their last six games. Chicago is coming off of a series split with the Mets, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against Boston and swept the Astros in three games. Chicago is just one game behind the Brewers for first in the NL Central and they are 10-3 at home this year. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 156 runs with a .236 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Michael Busch is batting .262 with six home runs and 17 RBI’s for the Cubs this year. Chicago is just 16th in team ERA, but they are eighth in runs scored this year, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Joe Ross, who is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP over 25.0 innings pitched this year. Ross has allowed six earned runs in two of his last three starts and the Brewers are 0-3 in his last three outings. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Hayden Wesneski, who is 2-0 with a 0.87 ERA and a 0.68 WHIP over 10.1 innings pitched this season. Wesneski has allowed one earned run and six hits over 10.1 innings, but that only includes one start this year. 

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Seiya Suzuki has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Cubs as home favorites.
  • Ian Happ has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Cubs as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Mike Tauchman ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.422) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his nine previous appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Joe Ross has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Willy Adames has recorded a Double in six of the Brewers' last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances against the Cubs.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Christian Yelich has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Brice Turang ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago Cubs rank T1st in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 5th in the league for walks this season (118).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.339).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (40).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

These two teams come into this series battling for the top spot in the NL Central, which makes this a very important series early in this season. The Cubs have been great at home this year and Wesneski has pitched very well through three outings (one start). Milwaukee has been outstanding on the road, going 12-4, but Joe Ross has been roughed up in recent outings. The Brewers have been very good to start the year, but I am fading Joe Ross in this one. My Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for the Cubs to win game one. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Tuesday 6/25/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss