Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 5/2/24

Houston Astros (10-20) vs Cleveland Guardians (20-10)

Game Info: Thursday, May 2, 2024 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Spencer Arrighetti (0-3) (10.97) vs Logan Allen (3-1) (5.46)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -130 / Cleveland Guardians +110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 2nd at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Guardians recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Astros recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Houston
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cleveland and Houston

Guardians of the AL Central? 

The Cleveland Guardians are 20-10 this year and they have split their last six games. Cleveland lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 3-2 in extra innings. Prior to this series, the Guardians lost two out of three against Atlanta and won two out of three against the Red Sox. Cleveland hasn’t played their best over the last seven games, but they are still leading the AL Central over the Royals and Tigers. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 155 runs with a .248 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Josh Naylor is batting .269 with seven home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Guardians this year. Cleveland has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games, after starting the season very hot at the plate. 

Astros at the Bottom of the AL West

The Houston Astros are 10-20 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Houston won game one in this series by a score of 10-9 on Tuesday, but lost in extra innings on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Astros swept a two game series with Colorado and lost three straight against the Cubs. Houston has won three of their last four games and they have found some recent success, but they are still last in the division. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 134 runs with a .263 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Kyle Tucker is batting .298 with eight home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Astros this year. Houston has scored 32 runs in their last four games, but they need to find some consistent pitching. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 3-1 with a 5.46 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 31.1 innings pitched this year. Allen has allowed 16 earned runs and 23 hits in his last four starts (19.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 0-3 with a 10.97 ERA and a 2.34 WHIP over 10.2 innings pitched this season. Arrighetti has allowed 13 earned runs and 18 hits in his three starts this year (10.2 IP). 

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in three of the Astros' last four games as favorites.
  • Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last six home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Chas McCormick has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded a Double in three of the Astros' last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Chas McCormick has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Chas McCormick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros' last 10 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Tucker ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in five of the Guardians' last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Guardians' last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in seven of the Guardians' last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians' last 10 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Double in four of the Guardians' last five night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.360) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (194).
  • The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (277).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank T4th in the league for triples this season (6).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (228).

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction

Cleveland comes into this game looking for another series win, but they have had some issues stringing wins together recently. Houston is looking for anything to give them momentum after a disastrous start to the season, but a series win against Cleveland could spark a turn around. Both of these starting pitchers have had their issues, but Arrighetti for the Astros has been awful through three starts this season. On the other side, Logan Allen had two decent starts in the beginning of the season, but has been roughed up in his last four. I expect plenty of runs to be scored in this game, but I have to side with the Astros at home, as they have started to play slightly better. My Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astors prediction is for Houston to pick up a huge home win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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