Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 5/2/24

New York Mets (15-15) vs Chicago Cubs (19-12)

Game Info: Thursday, May 2, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Citi Field)

Adrian Houser (0-3) (8.37) vs Ben Brown (0-1) (4.30)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -120 / Chicago Cubs +100 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 2nd at Citi Field in Queens, New York. To formulate this prediction for game four in the series, we will examine:

  • The Cubs recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Mets recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and New York
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and New York

Chicago is Battling in the NL Central 

The Chicago Cubs are 19-12 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Chicago won games one and three by scores of 3-1 and 1-0, and will look for the series win here. Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against Boston, swept the Astros in three games, and split a four game set with Miami. Chicago has only lost two games in a row once in their last 18 games and they are only a half game behind Milwaukee in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 150 runs with a .236 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson is batting .234 with three home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Cubs this year. Chicago is only 16th in team ERA, but they have allowed three runs or fewer in 10 of their last 14 games. 

Mets Looking to Turn it Around 

The New York Mets are 15-15 this year and they have lost seven of their last ten games. New York won game two by a score of 4-2 on Tuesday, but they lost games one and thee. Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Giants. New York is currently third in the NL East, behind Atlanta and Philadelphia. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .212 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 128 runs with a .238 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .228 with eight home runs and 15 RBI’s for the Mets. New York has scored two runs or fewer in six of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Ben Brown, who is 0-1 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 23.0 innings pitched this year. Brown has allowed four earned runs and 11 hits over his last three starts (14.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for New York is Adrian Houser, who is 0-3 with an 8.37 ERA and a 1.90 WHIP over 23.2 innings pitched this year. Houser has allowed at least five earned runs in three of his last four starts. 

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in four of the Mets' last six games as favorites against the Cubs.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets' last six games as favorites against the Cubs.
  • Starling Marte has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adrian Houser has recorded five strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.
  • Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last eight games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets' last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in eight of the Mets' last nine games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets' last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Pete Alonso ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.
  • Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his 12 previous appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (17).
  • The New York Mets rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (209).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T1st in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 29th in the league for steals this season (11).

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction

These two teams played a 1-0 game on Wednesday night, but I think we are going to see a lot more scoring in this matchup. Chicago is top ten in runs scored so far this season and they are facing Adrian Houser, who has been pretty bad in his last few starts. On the other side, Ben Brown has been decent as a starter this year, but he did get roughed up last time out. I have a pretty steady rule of not backing Adrian Houser, but I don’t love Ben Brown either. My Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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