New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 5/1/24

Baltimore Orioles (19-10) vs New York Yankees (19-12)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 6:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Corbin Burnes (3-0) (2.55) vs Luis Gil (1-1) (4.01)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -165 / New York Yankees +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 1st at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game three in this series, we will examine:

  • The Yankees recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Baltimore
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Baltimore

Yankees Searching for Offense 

The New York Yankees are 19-12 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. New York has dropped the first two games in this series, but they did take two out of three against Milwaukee over the weekend. Prior to that series, the Yankees split a four game series with the Athletics. New York scored 30 runs in their last two games against the Brewers, but they have scored just two total runs in the first two games of this series. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .220 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 150 runs with a .249 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .325 with eight home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Yankees. New York has one of the best team ERA’s in the MLB and they are 6th in runs scored offensively. 

Baltimore Looks to Stay Hot

The Baltimore Orioles are 19-10 this year and they have won seven of their last ten games. Baltimore has won games one and two by a score of 4-2 and 2-0. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against Oakland and won two out of three against the Angels. Baltimore is playing very well right now and they are leading the AL East, one game up on the Yankees. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 157 runs with a .254 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .291 with 10 home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Orioles this year. Baltimore has scored at least four runs in 14 of their last 16 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this year. Gil has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but he did allow five earned runs against Milwaukee in his last start. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 3-0 with a 2.55 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this season. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • James McCann has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • James McCann has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles' last 11 games against AL opponents.
  • James McCann has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles' last two games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles' last 11 games against AL opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Verdugo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games.
  • Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as underdogs.
  • Jose Trevino has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (45).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.450).
  • The New York Yankees rank T1st in the league for walks this season (135).
  • The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (39).

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup looking for their third straight win over the Yankees and they are 11-6 at home. The Orioles have played very well over their last 10 games and they have a slim lead in the AL East. New York is top six in runs scored so far this season, but they have only scored two runs in this series and will face Corbin Burnes here. Burnes is the much better pitcher in this matchup and I like the Orioles to win by at least two runs for my New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles prediction. 

David’s Pick Orioles -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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