Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 5/1/24

San Diego Padres (14-18) vs Cincinnati Reds (16-13)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Petco Park)

Joe Musgrove (3-3) (6.94) vs Graham Ashcraft (3-1) (4.40)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -156 / Cincinnati Reds +131 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cincinnati Reds and the San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Cincinnati will send Graham Ashcraft to the mound here and Ashcraft is 3-1 with a 4.40 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. In his career, Ashcraft is 0-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 10 strikeouts against San Diego. San Diego will trot out Joe Musgrove here and he is 3-3 with a 6.94 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. In his career, Musgrove is 6-2 with a 3.83 ERA and 51 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this one looking to bounce back from a 6-4 loss at the hands of the Padres in Tuesday’s matchup. The Reds fell behind early, but got on the board with a pair of runs in the 6th and 7th innings but it wasn’t enough as San Diego rode their lead to the finish line. The Reds could use the win after a series loss to the Rangers over the weekend.

Reds Trying To Keep Offensive Momentum Alive

Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 8 home runs and 29 hits as well as a .279 batting average along with 19 RBIs and 18 stolen bases while Spencer Steer has 27 hits and a team-high 21 RBIs with 8 doubles. Christian Encarnacion-Strand also has 6 doubles with 16 RBIs and Will Benson has a team-high 9 doubles but leads the Reds with 45 strikeouts so far this season.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to add on to their win over the Reds from Tuesday. The Padres did the majority of their damage in their 4-run 5th inning as they outhit the Reds 10-8 when all was said and done. The Padres could use the series win after being swept by the Phillies over the weekend and splitting with the Rockies the series prior.

Padres Offense Inconsistent But Talented

Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 34 hits along with a .318 batting average and 8 doubles with 4 homers and 19 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has a team-high 20 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 6 home runs this season. Manny Machado has 4 home runs and 16 RBIs but also has a team-high 29 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 25 hits with 2 triples, 4 doubles, 17 RBIs and a team-high 7 stolen bases.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances with the Padres as favorites against the Reds.
  • Jake Cronenworth has scored a run in each of his last six appearances in day games.
  • Joe Musgrove has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against the Reds.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Joe Musgrove has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games.
  • Jurickson Profar ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.413) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Padres.
  • Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • Graham Ashcraft has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in four of the Reds' last five road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Graham Ashcraft has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (277).
  • The San Diego Padres rank T3rd in the league for runs scored this season (157).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (54).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 27th in the league for hits this season (215).

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m on the Reds here. I know the Padres came through on Tuesday, but I’m not sold on Joe Musgrove and his worst starts of the season have come at home where he’s been getting torched. Ashcraft’s issues have come pitching at home, and when you take him out of the hitter-friendly confines of Great American Ballpark and put him in a Pitcher’s Paradise like Petco, he thrives. I think Ashcraft has a solid start here and guides the Reds to a nice win at some plus money.

Chris’s Pick Cincinnati +131

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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