Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 5/1/24

New York Mets (14-14) vs Chicago Cubs (18-11)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Jose Butto (0-1) (2.86) vs Shota Imanaga (4-0) (0.98)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -104 / Chicago Cubs -114 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago Cubs and the New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Chicago Cubs recent form and player performance

• The New York Mets recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chicago Cubs

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Cubs and Mets

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cubs vs Mets game

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Cubs took on the Boston Red Sox. Chicago took a 7-1 win in the opener of that series, but lost the weekend games 17-0 and 5-4. After a 3-1 Monday win over the Mets, in game two the Cubs had just four team hits (and two errors) in a 4-2 loss. Starting pitcher Javier Assad finished with 5.0 innings, one earned, no walks and five hits.

In the starter slot for Wednesday’s game, the Cubs will go with Shota Imanaga. This year in five starts (the first five starts of his MLB career), Imanaga is 4-0 with a 0.98 ERA. He’s got 28 strikeouts over 27.2 innings total.

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they lost their first pair of weekend games to the St. Louis Cardinals. New York staved off the sweep with a 4-2 Sunday win, though. Following their Monday loss, in Tuesday’s matchup the Mets scored three runs in the sixth inning on the way to the victory. Sean Manaea posted 5.0 innings in the starter role with one earned, three hits and four walks.

It’ll be Jose Butto in the starter slot for the Mets on Wednesday. This year over his four starts Butto is 0-1 with a 2.86 ERA. He’s got 25 Ks in 22.0 total frames. Over his career Butto is 1-5 with a 4.10 ERA in 14 games (12 starts).

Cubs vs Mets Injury Notes

Cubs RF Seiya Suzuki (10-day IL) has increased the intensity of his baseball activities but is not close to beginning a rehab assignment after his oblique injury. SP Justin Steele (hamstring) could possibly rejoin the rotation after his rehab start on Wednesday.

Mets SP Kodai Senga (60-day IL) reached the mid-90s with his fastball during a live bullpen session on Monday. Senga is dealing with a shoulder injury.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in six of the Mets' last seven games as underdogs against the Cubs.
  • Jeff McNeil has scored at least one run in nine of the Mets' last 10 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Mets' last seven games against the Cubs at Citi Field.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets' last seven games as underdogs against the Cubs.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as home underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Mets as home underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Pete Alonso ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Shota Imanaga has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
  • Seiya Suzuki has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Cubs as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his 11 previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Shota Imanaga ranks T5th in the league for Wins (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (17).
  • The New York Mets rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (204).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T1st in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 30th in the league for steals this season (9).

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction

I’ll stick with the Cubs. Chicago should be in good shape with Imanaga on the hill. In his last three starts combined, Imanaga is 3-0 with just three earned runs on 15 hits and three walks in 17.2 total innings. A quality start should be in the cards here. As for Butto, he’s coming off a sketchy outing versus the Cardinals with 5.2 innings and four earned in a loss on April 26.

On Tuesday the Cubs had a pretty flat offensive evening with Mike Tauchman getting two of the team’s four hits (and a run). Chicago really only had one bad inning though, so if the bats get going on Wednesday the Cubs will be fine.

Andrew’s Pick Chicago Cubs -114

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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