Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 5/1/24

Seattle Mariners (17-13) vs Atlanta Braves (19-9)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 3:40 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Emerson Hancock (3-2) (5.06) vs Chris Sale (3-1) (3.69)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners +150 / Atlanta Braves -175 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 1st at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Braves recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Mariners recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Atlanta and Seattle
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Atlanta and Seattle

Braves Looking to Avoid Sweep

The Atlanta Braves are 19-9 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. The Braves have lost the first two games in this series and they have only scored three runs in the series. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against Cleveland and swept the Marlins in three games. Atlanta has struggled in their last four games, but they are leading the NL East by a half game over the Phillies. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 152 runs with a .269 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .327 with nine home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Braves this year. Atlanta has allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last eight games. 

Seattle is Hot

The Seattle Mariners are 17-13 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Seattle has won the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 3-2. Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against Arizona and two out of three against Texas. Seattle is has won seven of their last nine games and they are now first in the AL West, leading Texas by one game. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.03 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and a .209 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 109 runs with a .217 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Mitch Haniger is batting .228 with four home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Mariners. Seattle has allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 3-1 with a 3.69 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this year. Sale has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow five earned runs to the Marlins in his last road game. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Emerson Hancock, who is 3-2 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 26.2 innings pitched this year. Hancock has allowed four earned runs and 10 hits over his last three starts (18.0 IP).

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit at least one home run in three of the Mariners' last four day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances with the Mariners as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Josh Rojas has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against the Braves.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Chris Sale has recorded 11+ strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Mariners.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves' last 10 Wednesday games.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in seven of the Braves' last eight day games.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances.
  • Chris Sale has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Wednesday day appearances.
  • Adam Duvall has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.636) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (29).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (311).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (69).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.269).

Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Atlanta comes into this matchup struggling for the first time this season, as they are trying to find their offense that has gone missing over the last four games. Seattle is red hot right now and despite a slow start to the season, they are leading the highly competitive AL West. Both of these starting pitchers have been solid in recent starts, but I don’t love the pitching matchup. Sale struggled in his last road start, while I don’t trust Hancock against this Atlanta lineup. My Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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