Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 4/30/24

Houston Astros (9-19) vs Cleveland Guardians (19-9)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 30, 2024 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Hunter Brown (0-4) (9.68) vs Carlos Carrasco (1-2) (4.63)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -140 / Cleveland Guardians +129 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 30th at Minute Maid Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Guardians' recent form and recent player performance 

-The Astros recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Houston

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Guardians and Astros. 

Astros Have Won Two Straight

The Astros have won two straight games over the Colorado Rockies. Mexico City treated them well as they scored 20 runs. In the last game Jose Altuve, Kyle Tucker, and Jeremy Pena all hit a home run. Starting pitcher Framber Valdez went five innings giving up five hits and two runs. The Astros are averaging 4.22 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.28 runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 28th. They are batting .265 which is the third in the league, but they have done a bad job of stringing them together to score runs. Kyle Tucker has hit seven home runs and driven in 20 RBIs so far this season. 

Hunter Brown Needs to be Better

Getting the start for the Astros will be Hunter Brown who sits with an 0-4 record and an ERA of 9.68. In his last start against the Nationals he went four innings giving up four hits and three runs. 

Guardians Look for Quick Comeback

The Guardians in the last game faced off against the Atlanta Braves and they didn’t play awful, but they only scored three runs and they ended up losing by a run. Hunter Gaddis wasn’t great out of the bullpen, going only an inning and giving up three hits and two runs. The Guardians are averaging 5.1 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.46 runs per game. 

Guardian's Offense Has Been Good Most of Season

The offense is ranked 7th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 3rd. Josh Naylor is having a big season hitting six home runs and driving in 21 RBIs. Jose Ramirez has hit five home runs and driven in 24 RBIs. Getting the start for the Guardians will be Carlos Carassco who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 4.63. In his last start against the Boston Red Sox he went five innings giving up nine hits and five runs. 

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros' last three home games against AL Central opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of the Astros' last 13 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last four games as home favorites.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against the Guardians.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros' last eight games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Altuve ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.414) this season.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in each of the Guardians' last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians' last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians' last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Carrasco has recorded four or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 15 appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Double in four of the Guardians' last five night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.339) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (178).
  • The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (258).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (207).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (274).

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Betting Prediction

There is going to be no shortage of scoring in this game. Brown has been awful this season for the Astros sitting with an ERA of 9.68. Carassco in his last start really struggled, giving up five runs, and he’s going to be awful again here. Both of these offenses are going to have no issue running up the score, and that will be the difference here, as this game is going to be a shootout. Back the over to cash. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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