Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 4/30/24

New York Mets (14-14) vs Chicago Cubs (18-11)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 30, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Sean Manaea (1-1) (3.33) vs Javier Assad (2-0) (2.00)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -135 / Chicago Cubs +115 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 30th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Mets recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Chicago

Mets are Searching for Offense 

The New York Mets are 14-14 this year and they have lost six of their last eight games. New York lost game one in this series on Monday and they lost two out of three against the Cardinals over the weekend. Prior to that series, the Mets lost two out of three on the road against San Francisco. New York is really struggling to score runs right now and they have scored two runs or fewer in five of their last eight. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .216 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 124 runs with a .239 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .241 with eight home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Mets this season. The Mets are currently third in the NL East, trailing the Braves and Phillies. 

Chicago Focused on Pitching 

The Chicago Cubs are 18-11 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 3-1 on Monday, but they lost two out of three against Boston over the weekend. Prior to that series, the Cubs swept the Astros and split a four game series with the Marlins. Chicago is currently leading the NL Central, but Milwaukee and Cincinnati are right behind them. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 147 runs with a .241 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Michael Busch is batting .269 with six home runs and 17 RBI’s for the Cubs this year. Chicago has allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 1-1 with a 3.33 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 24.1 innings pitched this year. Manaea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this year. Assad has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, but has only gone six innings once. 

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in five of the Mets' last six home games against the Cubs.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets' last six games against the Cubs at Citi Field.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in seven of the Mets' last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Omar Narvaez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six home appearances against the Cubs.
  • Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last six games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Pete Alonso ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his 12 previous appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Seiya Suzuki has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (17).
  • The New York Mets rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (120).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T1st in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 30th in the league for steals this season (8).

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction

Chicago comes into this matchup with a very solid 18-11 record, but they are just 8-8 on the road. The Cubs are right in the middle of the MLB for team ERA, but they have pitched pretty well recently, not counting game two against Boston on Saturday. New York has fallen into a slump after being one of the hottest teams in the MLB and their offense needs to get back on track. Manaea has looked very strong for the Mets early in this season, but so has Javier Assad for the Cubs. I think the pitching matchup is a wash, so I will go with the better hitting team. My Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets prediction is for the Cubs to win on the road. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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