Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 4/29/24

San Diego Padres (14-16) vs Cincinnati Reds (15-12)

Game Info: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)

Matt Waldron (1-2) (3.96) vs Nick Lodolo (2-0) (2.12)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -105 / Cincinnati Reds -105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cincinnati Reds and San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Petco Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres prediction.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-13 this season after losses to the Phillies and Rangers. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Cincinnati Reds have lost 4 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 27 hits and 18 RBI, while Spencer Steer and Christian Encarnacion-Strand have combined for 45 hits and 36 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres have lost 4 straight games, which includes a sweep of the Phillies. The San Diego Padres have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The San Diego Padres have won 8 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 30 hits and 18 RBI, while Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 57 hits and 35 RBI. The Padres will meet the Diamondbacks after this series.

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Nick Lodolo gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 2-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Lodolo has allowed 14 hits and 4 runs through 17 innings, his best stretch of his young career. Lodolo had an ERA over 6 last season, so this is a massive turnaround. This will be Lodolo’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.

Matt Waldron gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Waldron has a 9.35 ERA and .381 allowed batting average in 8.2 innings at home. Waldron has also walked 10 batters in 25 innings this season overall. This will be Waldron’s first career game against the Cincinnati Reds.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Manny Machado has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres' last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jurickson Profar ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.407) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Steer has hit a home run in three of the Reds' last four games against the Padres.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds' last eight night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in each of the Reds' last three night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (263).
  • The San Diego Padres rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (6).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (52).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (6).

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres prediction

The San Diego Padres should get the benefit of the doubt because they're at home, and they're the better team on paper. However, the Padres are coming off a rough week, and they've been a bit underwhelming overall. The Cincinnati Reds have the offense to give the Padres trouble, and Matt Waldron has been rough at home this season with a control issue. Nick Lodolo has been solid this year and is giving the Reds a chance to win each time he takes the mound. I like the Reds in this spot against a Padres team that has shaky footing at the moment.

Randy’s Pick Cincinnati Reds -105

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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