Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 4/28/24

San Francisco Giants (13-15) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (14-14)

Game Info: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 4:05 pm (Oracle Park)

Keaton Winn (2-3) (3.54) vs Jared Jones (2-2) (2.79)

Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants -120 / Pittsburgh Pirates +102 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 28th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Pirates recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Giants recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Pittsburgh and San Francisco 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Pittsburgh and San Francisco 

Pirates Look for Rare Series Win 

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 14-14 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Pittsburgh lost game one in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 4-3 on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Pirates split a four game set with the Brewers, but were swept by the Red Sox and Mets prior to that. Pittsburgh has not won any of their last five series and they are currently fourth in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 113 runs with a .238 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .264 with four home runs and 17 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. Pittsburgh has really struggled over the last couple of weeks and they have scored two runs or fewer in eight of their last 11 games. 

Giants Need to Reboot Offense

The San Francisco Giants are 13-15 this season and they have won three of their last five games. San Francisco won game one in this series by a score of 3-0, but they dropped game two on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Giants won two out of three against the Mets and spilt a four game set with the Diamondbacks. San Francisco had the offense going for a few games, but they have only scored eight runs in their last three games. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 113 runs with a .244 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Michael Conforto is batting .277 with five home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Giants this year. San Francisco is never a very high scoring team, but their pitching staff needs to improve if they want to contend in the NL West. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Jared Jones, who is 2-2 with a 2.79 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP over 29.0 innings pitched this year. Jones has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts and has only walked four batters this season. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Keaton Winn, who is 2-3 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this season. Winn has allowed four earned runs and 13 hits over his last 17.0 innings pitched over three starts. 

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against the Pirates.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Pirates.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Pirates.
  • Tom Murphy has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances against the Pirates.
  • Wilmer Flores has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
  • Tom Murphy has recorded at least one RBI in three of his four previous appearances against the Pirates.
  • Thairo Estrada has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Connor Joe has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Andrew McCutchen has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Joey Bart has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Francisco Giants rank T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (72).
  • The San Francisco Giants rank T25th in the league for strikeouts this season (208).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (114).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (269).

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 

Both teams come into this matchup right around the .500 mark on the season and they both could really use a series win here. These two teams are very similar when looking at the offensive numbers on the year, but Pittsburgh has the better pitching numbers. Both of these starting pitchers have been very solid in 2024, but Keaton Winn has been outstanding in his last four starts. My Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Giants to win game three at home. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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