Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 4/28/24

San Diego Padres (14-15) vs Philadelphia Phillies (17-10)

Game Info: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Petco Park)

Michael King (2-2) (4.11) vs Taijuan Walker (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -128 / Philadelphia Phillies +109 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Petco Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres prediction.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have won their last 3 games and take on the Angels after this series. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 40 hits and 9 RBI, while Alec Bohm and Brandon Marsh have combined for 59 hits and 42 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres have lost their last 3 games and sure off against the Reds after this game. The San Diego Padres have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 6 games. The San Diego Padres have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 28 hits and 18 RBI, while Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill have combined for 56 hits and 27 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he was 15-6 with a 4.38 ERA and 138 strikeouts last season. Walker will make his season debut after dealing with a shoulder injury. This will be Walker’s 195th career start, and he had a 1.31 WHIP and pitched 172.2 innings last season. Walker is 5-3 with a 3.00 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 2-2 with a 4.11 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. King has been hit or miss so far this season, but he has 15 strikeouts in his last 11.1 innings. For a third straight season, King is averaging double-digit strikeouts per 9 innings in his last 3 seasons. This will be King’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Padres' last three games as favorites against the Phillies.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres' last six day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Cronenworth has scored a run in each of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in three of the Padres' last four games as favorites against the Phillies.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances after playing the previous day.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies' last four day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies' last seven games against NL opponents.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies' last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • Trea Turner has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies' last four games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs.
  • Alec Bohm ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.434) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (254).
  • The San Diego Padres rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (6).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (274).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.212).

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing the better baseball at the moment, but I have a hard time getting behind a pitcher such as Taijuan Walker, who is working his way back from a shoulder issue. Who knows what to expect from Walker on the mound, and it could take a couple of starts for him to get comfortable. Michael King has been hittable this season, but he also has quality stuff that's allowing him to rack up the strikeouts. If King is on, he'll give the Padres a chance to avoid the sweep. The Padres have the more trustworthy situation on the mound. I'll lay the cheap price with the Padres.

Randy’s Pick San Diego Padres -128

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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