Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 4/27/24

San Diego Padres (14-14) vs Philadelphia Phillies (16-10)

Game Info: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 8:40 pm (Petco Park)

Dylan Cease (3-1) (1.82) vs Ranger Suarez (4-0) (1.36)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -118 / Philadelphia Phillies +108 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Phillies will send Ranger Suarez to the hill here and Suarez is 4-0 with a 1.36 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. In his career, Suarez is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 6 strikeouts against the Padres. Dylan Cease will make the start for the Padres here and is 3-1 with a 1.82 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Cease’s first career start against the Padres.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies started the series with a 9-3 beatdown win over the Padres, building some steam up after earning a series split with the Reds and prior to that, sweeping the White Sox and Rockies. The Phillies jumped on the Padres early and often, scoring 2 runs in the first and 4 in the 3rd and never looking back.

Phillies Rolling At The Dish

Entering Friday’s series opener, Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 36 hits including 9 doubles and 6 stolen bases with a .336 batting average while Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 6 home runs with 39 strikeouts this season. Bryce Harper’s added 4 doubles, 5 home runs and 16 RBIs while Alec Bohm has a team-high 21 RBIs as well as 9 doubles of his own and Brandon Marsh also has 5 home runs and 13 RBIs this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have won each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday night road games against NL West opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last three games against NL West opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last three night games.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres could’ve used the win after being forced to settle for a split to start the week against the Rockies and prior to that, losing their series with the Toronto Blue Jays. It was a sluggish all around effort from the Padres in the loss, getting outhit 13-7 by the Phillies in the defeat.

Padres Inconsistent Offensively As Per Usual

Entering Friday, Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the Padres with 28 hits and 6 home runs with 15 RBIs while Jackson Merrill also has 28 hits with a .318 batting average. Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 18 RBIs while Ha-Seong Kim and Jake Cronenworth are right behing with 17 RBIs apiece, with Kim adding a team-high 7 stolen bases and 2 triples. Luis Campusano also has a team-high 7 doubles as well for the Padres this season.

San Diego Padres Team Facts

  • The Padres have won each of their last five night games against the Phillies at Petco Park following a home loss.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Padres have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games at Petco Park.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last four games.
  • The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home night games.

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. I know Cease has been lights out for the Padres for the better part of the season and has done an admirable job of filling the void left by Blake Snell when Snell bolted for San Francisco. However, the Phillies continue to crush right-handed pitching, while the Padres have really struggled against lefties. Ranger Suarez continues to shut opponents down on the road and in a pitcher-friendly park like Petco, I think he has another strong outing here. Give me the Phillies.

 

Chris’s Pick Philadelphia +108

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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