Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers Prediction MLB Picks 4/26/24

Texas Rangers (13-13) vs Cincinnati Reds (14-11)

Game Info: Friday, April 26, 2024 at 8:05 pm (Globe Life Field)

Nathan Eovaldi (1-2) (3.30) vs Graham Ashcraft (3-1) (5.24)

Betting Odds: Texas Rangers -170 / Cincinnati Reds +145 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv

In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 26th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. To formulate this prediction for game one in this series, we will examine:

  • The Reds recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Rangers recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Texas
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Cincinnati and Texas
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cincinnati and Texas

Cincinnati is Hot Offensively

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-11 this year and they have won five of their last seven games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series split with the Phillies, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Reds swept the Angels and were swept by the Mariners. Cincinnati has only lost one of their last four series and they are currently third in the NL Central, trailing Milwaukee and the Cubs, but ahead of the Pirates and Cardinals. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 127 runs with a .222 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .306 with seven home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Reds this year. Cincinnati has been shut out in two of their last four games, but they have also scored at least seven runs in four of their last seven. 

Texas Looks to Restart Offense 

The Texas Rangers are 13-13 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Texas is coming off of a series loss against Seattle, where they dropped two out of three games. Prior to that series loss, the Rangers lost two out of three against Atlanta and won three out of four at Detroit. Texas has not been able to consistently win games, as they have won back to back games just once in their last 18 games. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .220 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 122 runs with a .250 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .299 with seven home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has struggled to win back to back games, but they have also struggled to be consistent on offense, scoring three runs or fewer in six of their last 10 games. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Graham Ashcraft, who is 3-1 with a 5.24 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 22.1 innings pitched this year. Ashcraft has allowed five earned runs in two of his last three outings, which came against the Angels and Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 1-2 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 30.0 innings pitched this year. Eovaldi has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts this year, but did allow five earned runs to Houston two starts ago.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Adolis Garcia has hit a home run in four of the Rangers' last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Rangers' last eight home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Corey Seager has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Rangers' last 10 Friday games at Globe Life Field.
  • Corey Seager has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers' last 10 Friday games at Globe Life Field.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded a Double in each of the Rangers' last three games against NL opponents.
  • Adolis Garcia ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (7) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
  • Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his six previous appearances at Globe Life Field.
  • Graham Ashcraft has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against the Rangers.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Rangers.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
  • Graham Ashcraft has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Texas Rangers rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.220).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (100).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (45).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (6).

 

Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Cincinnati comes into this series with the better record in this matchup, but Texas has the pitching advantage. The Rangers are going with Nathan Eovaldi, who has been great in most of his starts this year. The Reds are going with Graham Ashcraft, who I think will struggle against this Texas lineup. The Rangers haven’t played anywhere close to how they finished last season, but they are at home and have Eovaldi on the mound. My Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers prediction for this game is for the Rangers to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Rangers -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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