Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 4/25/24

Cincinnati Reds (14-10) vs Philadelphia Phillies (15-10)

Game Info: Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Nick Martinez (0-0) (4.76) vs Zack Wheeler (1-3) (2.30)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +130 / Philadelphia Phillies -150 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 25th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game four in this series, we will examine:

  • The Phillies recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Reds recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Cincinnati
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Philadelphia and Cincinnati

Can the Phillies Earn a Series Split?

The Philadelphia Phillies are 15-10 this season and they have won seven of their last nine games. Philadelphia won game one in this series by a score of 7-0, but they lost games two and three. Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the White Sox and Rockies. Philadelphia has been a very solid team through 25 games this season, but they have allowed 15 runs in their last two games in the series. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .220 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 108 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .337 with three home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Phillies. Philadelphia has pitched very well for most of this season, but they need a bounce back game here from their pitching staff. On the other side, the Phillies offense is right in the middle of the MLB for runs scored, but they have scored at least seven runs in four of their last six. 

Can Cincinnati Stay Hot?

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-10 this year and they have won five of their last six games. Cincinnati was blown out in game one of this series, but they have won games two and three by scores of 8-1 and 7-4. Prior to this series, the Reds swept the Angels by scores of 3-0, 7-5, and 7-1. Cincinnati started the season playing very inconsistently, but they have turned things around and are in pursuit of the Brewers and Cubs in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 127 runs with a .226 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .313 with seven home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Reds. Cincinnati is towards the top of the MLB in runs scored and they have scored at least seven runs in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The Philadelphia Phillies are starting Zack Wheeler, who is 1-3 with a 2.30 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over 31.1 innings pitched this year. Wheeler has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts, including allowing one earned run and four hits over 6.0 innings against the Reds in his second start. The Reds are starting Nick Martinez, who is 0-0 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this season. Martinez has bounced between the bullpen and rotation early in this season, but has allowed eight earned runs and 14 hits over 10.0 innings in two starts. 

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in eight of the Reds' last nine home games.
  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances with the Reds against NL opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Jonathan India has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Phillies.
  • Jonathan India has recorded a Single in each of the Reds' last six Thursday day games at Great American Ball Park.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (15) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Phillies' last eight games against NL Central opponents.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded 10 strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last 12 games at Great American Ball Park.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Phillies' last eight games.
  • Whit Merrifield has recorded at least one total base in each of his nine previous appearances at Great American Ball Park.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies' last four games against NL opponents.
  • Zack Wheeler ranks T4th in the league for total Strikeouts (38) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (45).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (6).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (239).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (29).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Cincinnati comes into this game looking for the series win and they have played very well over their last six games. The Reds are also 9-6 at home, while Philadelphia is 5-4 on the road. The Phillies were one of the hottest teams in the MLB coming into this series, but the Reds dominated games two and three. Wheeler has been very sharp for the Phillies so far this year, while Martinez leaves a lot to be desired. My Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is the Phillies -1.5. 

David’s Pick Phillies -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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