Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 4/25/24

Chicago Cubs (15-9) vs Houston Astros (7-18)

Game Info: Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Javier Assad (2-0) (2.11) vs Justin Verlander (1-0) (3.00)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs +110 / Houston Astros -130 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

In this article we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 25th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game three in this series, we will examine:

  • The Astros recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Houston and Chicago

Can Houston Wake Up?

The Houston Astros are 7-18 this season and they have lost four in a row and seven of their last eight. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Nationals and were swept by the Braves. Houston has really struggled through their first 25 games of the season and their pitching staff has been a disaster. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 5.14 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, and a .264 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 101 runs with a .263 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Jose Altuve is batting .350 with six home runs and eight RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston’s offense hasn’t been great, but their pitching staff has really cost them. The Astros have the third worst team ERA in the MLB and they have allowed at least five runs in six of their last eight. 

Chicago Looks for the Sweep

The Chicago Cubs are 15-9 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Chicago has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-2 and 4-3, and will look for the sweep here. Prior to this series, the Cubs split a four-game set with the Marlins and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Chicago has had a strong start to this season and Wrigley Field has been very nice to them, as they are 9-3 at home. The Cubs have not lost back to back games in their last 11 games and they are second in the NL Central, only behind the Brewers

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 130 runs with a .246 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Michael Busch is batting .280 with six home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Cubs. Chicago has been very good at scoring runs so far this year, as they are tied for fifth in the MLB, and they should continue to take advantage of this bad Houston pitching staff. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Justin Verlander, who is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and a 0.67 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this year. Verlander allowed two earned runs and four hits over 6.0 innings in his first start against Washington. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 2-0 with a 2.11 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 21.1 innings pitched this season. Assad has allowed two earned runs or fewer in all four starts this year. 

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of his seven previous appearances with the Cubs as home underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs' last eight day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cody Bellinger has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Cubs as home underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances.
  • Ian Happ has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs' last four games as home underdogs.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Altuve has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Abreu has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Astros' last five day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Justin Verlander has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five Thursday appearances in day games with the Astros as favorites.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded two or more total bases in each of his eight previous appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last 11 road games against NL Central opponents.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros' last 11 road games against NL Central opponents.
  • Justin Verlander has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with the Astros as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Victor Caratini has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
  • Jose Altuve ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.350) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T29th in the league for steals this season (5).
  • The Houston Astros rank 30th in the league for triples this season (0).
  • The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (166).

Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 

Houston will look to cure their pitching issues for at least one day, as Justin Verlander will be on the mound for his second start. Verlander looked strong in his first start of the season, but will face a very good Chicago lineup here. The Cubs have had great pitching performances out of Javier Assad this season, but it is never easy to keep the Houston bats quiet. I know Verlander is on the mound, but I feel like this is a great price for the Cubs at home. My Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs prediction is a win for the Cubs here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA 1st Half & MLB First 5 Inning Picks & Predictions Wednesday 6/12/24 | Picks for Every Game Today

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss