Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 4/23/24

Cleveland Guardians (16-6) vs Boston Red Sox (13-10)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 6:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Ben Lively (0-1) (3.60) vs Tanner Houck (3-1) (1.35)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -105 / Boston Red Sox -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 23rd at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Cleveland
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Cleveland

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 13-10 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Boston is coming off of a series win against the Pirates, where they won all three games by scores of 6-1, 4-2 and 8-1. Prior to that series, the Red Sox lost three out of four at home against Cleveland. The Boston pitching staff has a 2.52 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a .222 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 103 runs with a .228 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .281 with one home run and nine RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 3-1 with a 1.35 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 26.2 innings pitched this year. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 16-6 this season and they have won seven of their last eight games. Cleveland is coming off of a series sweep against Oakland, where they won all three games by scores of 6-2, 6-3, and 10-2. Prior to that series, the Guardians won three out of four against Boston and lost two out of three against the Yankees. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.03 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 124 runs with a .257 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Josh Naylor is batting .325 with six home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Ben Lively, who is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games at Progressive Field against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last eight games as road favorites.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Tuesday games.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last six road games.
  • The Red Sox have led after 7 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Cleveland comes into this game with one of the best records in the MLB and they are 6-3 at home so far this season. The Guardians have been great at pitching and hitting, but we will see if their offense can keep it up. Boston has been up and down to start this campaign, but they are three games above .500. The Red Sox have also had great pitching, but their fielding is a major concern. Boston is starting Tanner Houck, who has allowed 0 earned runs in three of his four starts, but did allow four earned runs to the Angels two starts ago. The Guardians are going with Ben Lively, who allowed two earned runs and three hits over 5.0 innings against Boston last week. The Red Sox have been very solid on the road this season and while I do worry about their fielding abilities, I don’t like Lively for Cleveland. Take the Red Sox here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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