Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 4/21/24

Chicago Cubs (13-8) vs Miami Marlins (5-17)

Game Info: Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Kyle Hendricks (0-2) (12.71) vs Edward Cabrera (0-0) (1.50)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -125 / Miami Marlins +105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 21st at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game four in this series, we will examine:

  • The Marlins recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Miami and Chicago

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 5-17 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Miami  lost game one in this series, but they did split the double header on Saturday, winning the early game by a score of 3-2. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three to the Giants and Braves. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.91 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .263 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 79 runs with a .216 batting average and a .277 on base percentage. Bryan De La Cruz is batting .275 with five home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this season.

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 13-8 this year and they have won six of their last eight games. Chicago won game one of this series on Friday by a score of 8-3 and they won the second game of the double header on Saturday by a score of 5-3. Prior to this series, the Cubs won two out of three against Arizona and Seattle. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 116 runs with a .248 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Michael Busch is batting .328 with six home runs and 15 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Kyle Hendricks, who is 0-2 with a 12.71 ERA and a 2.24 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this year. 

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances against the Marlins.
  • Kyle Hendricks has recorded four or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Cubs as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Michael Busch ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.656) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Marlins' last four day games.
  • Avisail Garcia has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last 10 day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has scored a run in each of the Marlins' last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last 10 day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Edward Cabrera has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances against the Cubs.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Marlins' last eight games against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 30th in the league for steals this season (3).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (98).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.325).

Marlins vs Cubs Prediction

Miami was able to get a ninth inning home run in game one of the double header on Saturday for the win, but they blew a 3-1 lead in the second game for the loss. The Marlins have really struggled to get wins this season, but the have to be encouraged with how they played on Saturday. Chicago is 13-8 to start the season and while they did blow a lead on Saturday afternoon, they are still 7-2 at home. The Cubs are starting Kyle Hendricks, who has allowed 24 earned runs and 32 hits over 17.0 innings in four starts. The Marlins are going with Edward Cabrera, who allowed one earned run and five hits over 6.0 innings against the Giants in his first start. I know Miami only has five wins on the season, but there is no way I am backing Hendricks until I see him get much better. Take the Marlins here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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