Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 4/21/24

Philadelphia Phillies (13-8) vs Chicago White Sox (3-17)

Game Info: Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Aaron Nola (2-1) (3.86) vs Nick Nastrini (0-1) (3.60)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -290 / Chicago White Sox +240 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a White Sox vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 21st at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game three of this series, we will examine:

  • The White Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Phillies recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and Philadelphia 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and Philadelphia 

White Sox Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 3-17 this year and they have lost eight of their last nine games. Chicago has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 14 runs in two games. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three at home to KC. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.83 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 43 runs with a .190 batting average and a .268 on base percentage. Gavin Sheets is batting .250 with three home runs and 10 RBI’s. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Nick Nastrini, who is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this year. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-8 this season and they have won five games in a row. Philadelphia has won the first two games in this series by scores of 9-5 and 7-0. Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Rockies at home by scores of 7-6, 5-0, and 2-1. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .222 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 88 runs with a .242 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Trea Turner is batting .353 with two home runs and eight RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 2-1 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the White Sox after playing the previous day.
  • Alec Bohm has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies' last eight games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Phillies' last eight day games.
  • Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the White Sox.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies' last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies' last 12 games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last 12 games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has scored a run in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Andrew Benintendi has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Luis Robert has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (19).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (203).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (43).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for hits this season (119).

White Sox vs Phillies Prediction

Chicago comes into this game as the worst team in the MLB and their offense has been horrible. The White Sox have scored 43 runs in 20 games and they are just 1-8 on the road. Philadelphia has started the season playing very well so far and they are 9-6 at home. The Phillies have scored at least seven runs in four straight games and they will look to stay hot here. Philadelphia is starting Aaron Nola, who has allowed three earned runs and nine hits over 19.0 innings pitched in his last three starts. Chicago is starting Nick Nastrini, who allowed two earned runs and three hits over 5.0 innings against KC in his first start. The White Sox are completely lost on offense this season and even if Nastrini has another solid start, I have very little confidence in them scoring runs. Take the Phillies -1.5 here. 

David’s Pick Phillies -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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