Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 4/20/24

Chicago Cubs (12-7) vs Miami Marlins (4-16)

Game Info: Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Javier Assad/Shota Imanaga vs Jesus Luzardo/Roddery Munoz

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs / Miami Marlins --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 20th at Wrigley Field. To formulate this prediction for the double header, we will examine:

  • The Marlins recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Miami and Chicago

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 4-16 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Miami lost game one in this series and they lost two out of three against the Giants in the series before. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.03 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, and a .266 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 73 runs with a .214 batting average and a .275 on base percentage. Bryan De La Cruz is batting .286 with four home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for game one is Jesus Luzardo and the projected starting pitcher for game two is Roddery Munoz. 

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 12-7 this year and they have won five of their last six games. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 8-3 on Friday afternoon. Prior to this series, the Cubs won two out of three against Arizona and Seattle. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 109 runs with a .250 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Michael Busch is batting .317 with six home runs and 13 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for game one is Javier Assad. The projected starting pitcher for game two is Shota Imanaga. 

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cubs' last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances against the Marlins.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last nine games against NL opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins' last six games against NL opponents.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins' last nine Saturday day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Marlins' last three day games.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last nine games against NL opponents.
  • Josh Bell has scored at least one run in nine of the Marlins' last 10 day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in the league for triples this season (7).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 30th in the league for steals this season (3).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (92).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.321).

Marlins vs Cubs Prediction

Miami continues to really struggle so far this year and they only have four wins on the season. The Marlins have a very elevated team ERA and they are facing a Chicago team that is top five in runs scored. The Cubs have started the season playing very well and they are 6-1 at home so far. In game one of this double header, the Cubs are starting Javier Assad, who has been very good in three starts. The Marlins will go with Jesus Luzardo in the first game, who has allowed 12 earned runs in his last two starts. In game two, Chicago is turning to Shota Imanaga, who has not allowed an earned run in three starts. Miami is going with Roddery Munoz, who is making his first MLB appearance. The pitching matchup favors the Cubs in both of these games and I think it is too difficult to back the Marlins right now. Take the Cubs ML in game one and Cubs -1.5 in game two. 

David’s Pick Game 1: Cubs ML Game 2: Cubs -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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