Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 4/20/24

Pittsburgh Pirates (11-9) vs Boston Red Sox (11-10)

Game Info: Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 4:05 pm (PNC Park)

Mitch Keller (2-1) (4.50) vs Kutter Crawford (0-0) (0.42)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -120 / Boston Red Sox +100 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 20th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Pirates recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Pittsburgh
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Pittsburgh

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 11-10 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Boston is coming off of a win in game one of this series, where they won by a score of 8-1 on Friday night. Prior to that series, the Red Sox lost three out of four games to the Guardians. The Boston pitching staff has a 2.62 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a .220 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 93 runs with a .229 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Triston Casas is batting .244 with six home runs and 10 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 0-0 with a 0.42 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP over 21.1 innings pitched this season.

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 11-9 this year and they have lost four games in a row. Pittsburgh lost game one in this series on Friday night and they lost all three of their games against the Mets in their last series by scores of 9-1, 3-1, and 6-3. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 93 runs with a .238 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .253 with two home runs and 13 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 24.0 innings pitched this year.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Keller has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Edward Olivares has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
  • Joey Bart has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Joey Bart has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yasmani Grandal has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mitch Keller has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at PNC Park.
  • Triston Casas has scored a run in each of his last six road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 11 appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against the Pirates.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox's last four games against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (90).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (200).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.62).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (28).

Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup looking to snap their four game losing streak and their offense has gone silent, scoring just six runs in their last four games. Boston has been decent so far this year, but they are not a good defensive team. The Red Sox are starting Kutter Crawford, who has allowed one earned run and nine hits over 21.1 innings in four starts. The Pirates are going with Mitch Keller, who has allowed 12 earned runs and 28 hits over 24 innings in four starts. The Red Sox have the pitching advantage in this matchup, but Crawford has yet to record a win, after allowing a total of one run so far this year. I am going to back the Red Sox with Crawford, but the Boston offense is very questionable this year. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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