Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 4/16/24

Baltimore Orioles (10-6) vs Minnesota Twins (6-9)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 16, 2024 at 6:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Grayson Rodriguez (2-0) (2.50) vs Chris Paddack (0-0) (4.15)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -165 / Minnesota Twins +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 16th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Twins recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and Baltimore
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Minnesota and Baltimore

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 6-9 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Minnesota dropped game one in this series and they split a four game series with Detroit over the weekend. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 53 runs with a .194 batting average and a .282 on base percentage. Ryan Jeffers is batting .273 with three home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 0-0 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over 8.2 innings pitched this year. 

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 10-6 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Baltimore won game one in this series by a score of 7-4 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Brewers. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 89 runs with a .250 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Colton Cowser is batting .395 with four home runs and 13 RBI’s for the Orioles. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Grayson Rodriguez, who is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 18.0 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Cedric Mullins has hit a home run in each of the Orioles' last two games as favorites.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles' last four games as favorites.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last five games against AL opponents.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Twins.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles' last six games as favorites.
  • Grayson Rodriguez ranks T10th in the league for Wins (2) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Jose Miranda has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 30th in the league for walks this season (42).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (34).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 30th in the league for hits this season (97).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.194).

Twins vs Orioles Prediction

Minnesota has been pretty competitive over their last six games, but they are only hitting .194 as a team. The Twins have had solid pitching to begin the season, but their offense has been brutal. Baltimore looked pretty rough over the weekend against Milwaukee, but their offense is miles ahead of where Minnesota is. The Orioles are starting Grayson Rodriguez, who has allowed five earned runs over 18.0 innings pitched in three starts. The Twins are going with Chris Paddack, who has allowed four earned runs and 12 hits over 8.2 innings in two starts. Paddack hasn’t allowed many runs, but he has allowed a bunch of hits and hasn’t made it through five innings yet. I don’t have faith in this Minnesota offense to keep pace with Baltimore, especially with Paddack on the mound for the Twins. Take the Orioles -1.5 here. 

David’s Pick Orioles -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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