St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 4/1/24

San Diego Padres (3-3) vs St. Louis Cardinals (1-3)

Game Info: Monday, April 1, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)

Matt Waldron (0-0) (0.00) vs Kyle Gibson (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -105 / St. Louis Cardinals -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres betting prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 1st at Petco Park in San Diego, California. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Cardinals recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Padres recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
  • Recent betting trends in games played between St. Louis and San Diego 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between St. Louis and San Diego

Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 1-3 this year after they lost three out of four games against the Dodgers on the road to start the year. St. Louis won game three by a score of 6-5, but they lost the other three games by scores of 7-1, 6-3, and 5-4. The Cardinals pitching staff has a 6.09 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP and a .291 opponent batting average. The St. Louis offense has scored 14 runs with a .173 batting average and a .233 on base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .286 with one home run and four RBI’s for the Cardinals. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Kyle Gibson, who was 15-9 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 192 innings pitched for the Orioles in 2023. 

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 3-3 this season after they spilt a four game series with the Giants. San Diego won games one and four by scores of 13-4 and 6-4, but lost games two and three by scores of 8-3 and 9-6. The Padres also split a two game series with the Dodgers to open the season in Seoul. The San Diego pitching staff has a 6.33 ERA with a 1.63 WHIP and a .280 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 45 runs with a .297 batting average and a .371 on base percentage. Jake Cronenworth is batting .375 with 0 home runs and seven RBI’s for San Diego. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Matt Waldron, who was 1-3 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched last season. The Padres will play against the Giants and Cubs following this series.

San Diego Padres Team Facts

  • The Padres have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against the Cardinals at Petco Park.
  • The Padres have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against the Cardinals at Petco Park.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

  • The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games at Petco Park against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four Monday games as road favorites.
  • The Cardinals have lost the first inning in each of their last three Monday games as road favorites against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Padres as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres' last 10 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Manny Machado has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances at Petco Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last 10 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Manny Machado has scored at least one run in five of the Padres' last six games.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded a Double in three of the Padres' last four home games against NL opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Cardinals' last nine games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one total base in 23 of his last 24 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL West opponents.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in 23 of his last 24 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL West opponents.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has scored at least one run in eight of the Cardinals' last nine games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Willson Contreras has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Cardinals as favorites against NL opponents.

Cardinals vs Padres Betting Prediction

San Diego is coming off of a series split with the Giants in their last series, but their pitching staff has some major concerns early in this season. St. Louis had the unfortunate draw to start the season against the Dodgers, but they played decently well and almost got the series split. St. Louis is starting Kyle Gibson, who has had an ERA of 4.73 or higher in three straight seasons and five or his last six. San Diego is turning to Matt Waldron, who allowed two earned runs or fewer in his last three starts last season, one of which was against the Cardinals at home. I don’t love the pitching matchup here, but I can’t back Kyle Gibson until I see him string a few solid starts together. Take the Padres in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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