Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 3/28/24

Cincinnati Reds (0-0) vs Washington Nationals (0-0)

Game Info: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Frankie Montas (0-0) (0.00) vs Josiah Gray (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -208 / Washington Nationals +154 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Nationals vs Reds prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Washington Nationals recent form and player performance

• The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Nationals

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Nationals and Reds

 • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Nationals vs Reds game

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Nationals started out on a rough run last year, going 36-54 before the All-Star Break. Washington had a midseason revival but still ended up falling to 71-91 overall for a last-place finish in the National League East. It was the third straight basement finish for Washington, and their fourth straight year out of the playoffs.

For Thursday’s opener matchup, the Nationals are sending Josiah Gray to the mound in the start. This year in Spring Training Gray went 1-2 with a 6.61 ERA over five starts. Last season in his 30 starts, Gray maintained a 3.91 ERA with an 8-13 record and 143 Ks in 159.0 innings. The Nationals will meet the Pirates in the series after this one.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they took a big step forward last season. Cincinnati improved on their 62-100 record in 2022, ultimately going 82-80 overall. That was good enough for a third-place finish in the NL Central. The Reds even had a 12-game winning streak (third best in franchise history) at one point, but they were still eliminated from playoff contention.

It’ll be Frankie Montas in the Reds’ starter gig for the Thursday matchup. Montas bagged a 1-2 record and a 5.94 ERA in five starts over Spring Training, striking out 16 batters in 16.2 innings. Last year Montas appeared in just one game (following 2022 shoulder surgery), throwing 1.1 innings during that appearance. The Reds will face the Phillies and Mets after this series.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Steer has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as favorites against NL opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds' last four home games against NL opponents.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals' last two games against NL Central opponents.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals' last four games against NL opponents.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals' last seven games against the Reds.
  • Lane Thomas has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals' last six games at Great American Ball Park.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded two or more hits in each of the Nationals' last six games at Great American Ball Park.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals' last four games against NL opponents.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances.

Nationals vs Reds Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Reds here. Following a 20-game improvement in the record column last year, hopes are high in Cincinnati that the team can keep this rise going. The Reds boast a pretty good crop of core young players for 2024 and also added 3B Jeimer Candelario in the offseason. There are certainly some questions in the rotation, but if Montas can perform admirably and Hunter Greene fulfills expectations things will be looking good in Cincinnati.

As for the Nationals, they’ve certainly got some work to do. Washington should be able to continue their upward climb back to relevance if all goes well, however. I could see the Nats getting a few licks in on the Reds pitching staff here, but I don’t think they’ll win.

Andrew’s Pick Cincinnati Reds -208

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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