Brewers vs Mets Prediction MLB Picks 3/28/24

New York Mets (0-0) vs Milwaukee Brewers (0-0)

Game Info: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Citi Field)

Jose Quintana (0-0) (0.00) vs Freddy Peralta (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -125 / Milwaukee Brewers -105 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Mets betting prediction for this MLB showdown on Thursday, March 28th at Citi Field. We will take a look at: 

-The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and recent player performance

-The New York Mets recent form and recent player performance

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between Brewers and Mets. 

Pat Murphy in Charge of Brewers

The Brewers made some big changes this offseason, including at Manager. Craig Counsell left to be in charge of the Chicago Cubs, so the Brewers brought in Pat Murphy to lead the troops. The Brewers sent Corbin Burnes to the Baltimore Orioles and Adrian Houser to the Mets. One of the big offseason additions is Rhys Hoskins who should really help the offense. The Brewers also signed Gary Sanchez who the team hopes can get back to his early New York Yankees days. Getting the start for the Brewers will be Freddy Peralta, who finished last season with a 12-10 record and an ERA of 3.86. The Brewer will meet the Twins in the series after this one.

Brewers Betting Facts

  • The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight season openers against National League opponents.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four season openers.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four season openers.
  • The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three games.

Mets Offense Looks Familier

The Mets pitching staff looks a lot different, but the offense looks much of the same. Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil are all back, and are all going to need to have big years if the Mets want to be a playoff team. Alonso is set to become a free agent after this season so there is a chance if they struggle the first half of the season, Alonso could be traded. Getting the start for the Mets will be Jose Quintana who finished last season with a 3-6 record and an ERA of 3.57. He had 60 strikeouts and a WHIP of 1.31. The Mets will face the Tigers in the series after this one.

Mets Betting Facts

  • The Mets have won eight of their last nine home openers against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Thursday home games against NL Central opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last three home games.
  • The Mets have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven season openers.

Mets vs Brewers Betting Prediction

This game is going to be higher scoring. Peralta at times had struggles last season, and I trust the Mets offense to find success here. I don’t trust Quintana here, and the Brewers bats are going to have no issue running up the score here. Both of these teams are going to finish with six or seven runs total, and that will be the difference, as this game is a shootout. Back the over to cash here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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