Rangers vs Astros Prediction - MLB Picks 10/15/23
Houston Astros (93-73) vs Texas Rangers (95-72)
Game Info: Sunday, October 15, 2023 at 8:15 pm (Minute Maid Park)
Justin Verlander (14-8) (3.10) vs Jordan Montgomery (11-11) (3.20)
Betting Odds: Houston Astros -152 / Texas Rangers +128 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Texas Rangers will play the Houston Astros in Game 1 of the ALCS on Sunday night at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. The Rangers have won all five games they have played in the postseason, while Houston defeated the Twins in the ALDS.
The Texas Rangers are coming off of a series win against the Baltimore Orioles, where they won all three games in the series. Texas won by scores of 3-2, 11-8, and 7-1. The Rangers defeated the Tampa Bay Rays in the Wild Card round by scores of 4-0 and 7-1. Texas had a roller coaster of a regular season, but they have looked great so far in the postseason. The Texas pitching staff has a 2.20 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average this postseason. The Rangers offense has scored 32 runs with a .282 batting average and a .373 on base percentage. Corey Seager is batting .429 with one home run and three RBI’s for the Rangers this postseason. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jordan Montgomery, who is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 11 innings pitched this postseason.
The Houston Astros are coming off of a series win against the Minnesota Twins in the ALDS, where they won three out of four games. Houston won Games 1, 3, and 4 by scores of 6-4, 9-1, and 3-2, but they did lose Game 2 at home by a score of 6-2. The Astros finished the regular season playing very well and they have now won seven of their last eight games. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .198 opponent batting average this postseason. The Astros offense has scored 20 runs with a .261 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .438 with four home runs and six RBI’s for the Astros. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Justin Verlander, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over six innings this postseason.
Houston Astros Team Facts
- The underdogs have won seven of the Astros' last eight games at Minute Maid Park.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against the Rangers following a win.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in four of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five home night games.
Texas Rangers Team Facts
- The Rangers have lost each of their last 10 road games against the Astros following a win.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs following a win.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four playoff games as road underdogs.
- The Rangers have led after 7 innings in each of their last four playoff games as road underdogs.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in four of the Astros' last five games against AL opponents.
- Jose Abreu has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Astros' last six games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last six playoff games at Minute Maid Park.
- Michael Brantley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Rangers after not playing the previous day.
- Jose Altuve has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Rangers after not playing the previous day.
- Michael Brantley has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 15 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Mitch Garver has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against the Astros.
- Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Josh Jung has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers' last four games against AL opponents.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers' last eight games against the Astros at Minute Maid Park.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers' last eight road games against the Astros.
- Jonah Heim has recorded a Single in each of the Rangers' last seven games.
- Corey Seager ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.327) this season.
- The Houston Astros are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
- The Houston Astros rank 5th in the league for runs scored this season (827).
- The Texas Rangers rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.263).
- The Texas Rangers rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (881).
These two teams battled for most of the season in the AL West race, and they will meet in Game 1 of the ALCS here. Texas played pretty inconsistently over the last couple of months of the regular season, but they are undefeated through two series in the postseason. Houston won the AL West on the last day of the regular season and they took care of the Twins pretty easily last series. Houston is starting Justin Verlander, who went six innings and didn’t allow a run in his first start this postseason. Verlander went seven innings and allowed one earned run in his last start against Texas, which was on September 6th. Texas is starting Jordan Montgomery, who pitched well in his first start this postseason, but allowed four earned runs in his second start against Baltimore. Montgomery allowed one earned run over 6.2 innings against the Astros earlier this season, but that start was with the Cardinals. Texas has looked very good in their first five games this postseason, and I am going to take them here, against a Houston team that wasn’t great at home this season.