Arizona Diamondbacks (88-78) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (100-64)
Game Info: Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 9:07 pm (Chase Field)
Brandon Pfaadt (3-9) (5.84) vs Lance Lynn (13-11) (5.73)
Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +124 / Los Angeles Dodgers -148 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Los Angeles Dodgers will play the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday night at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Arizona has won the first two games in this series by scores of 11-2 and 4-2, and will have a chance to close the series out with a win here.
Dodgers Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers went 100-62 during the regular season and were one of the best teams in the MLB, but they are facing elimination after losing two games at home to start the series. Los Angeles had one of the best offenses in baseball this year, but they have only managed to score two runs in each of the first two games. The Dodgers were 47-34 on the road this year, so we will see if they can stay alive here. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 7.50 ERA, a 1.61 WHIP, and a .300 opponent batting average this postseason. The Dodgers offense has scored four runs with a .159 batting average and a .254 on base percentage. J.D. Martinez is batting .333 with one home run and one RBI this postseason. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Lance Lynn, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight starts.
Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks struggled to end the regular season, as they were swept by the Astros and out scored by a total of 11-2, but they have won four straight games to start the postseason. The Diamondbacks swept the Brewers in two games in the Wild Card round and have won the first two games of this series. The Arizona pitching staff has a 2.25 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 26 runs with a .265 batting average and a .354 on base percentage this postseason. Corbin Carroll is batting .500 with two home runs and four RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this postseason. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who has allowed 3, 0, 5, 0, and 4 earned runs over his last five outings.
Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last nine games against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last five playoff games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four playoff games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four playoff games as favorites.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five playoff games as favorites.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks' last five games against NL opponents.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks' last four games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Ketel Marte has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Ketel Marte has scored a run in each of the Diamondbacks' last six games against NL West opponents.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last 10 games against NL opponents.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one Single in each of the Diamondbacks' last 10 games against NL opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Lance Lynn has recorded four or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 16 appearances against NL West opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers' last four games at Chase Field.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Lance Lynn has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances at Chase Field.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents at Chase Field.
- Jason Heyward has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances.
- Enrique Hernandez has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road playoff appearances.
- Mookie Betts ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.579) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1247).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank T23rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1351).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (877).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.455).
Pick
The Dodgers come into this matchup looking to avoid being eliminated, but they will be on the road for this game. Arizona has played great so far in the postseason and their pitching has been quite the surprise. The Diamondbacks pitching staff wasn’t great in the regular season, but they have only allowed nine runs in four games in the postseason. I don’t like Pfaadt on the mound for Arizona and I think the Dodgers are going to jump all over him early. Take LA to get a huge win here.