Orioles vs Rangers Prediction - MLB Picks 10/10/23

Texas Rangers (94-72) vs Baltimore Orioles (101-63)

Game Info: Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 8:03 pm (Globe Life Field)

Nathan Eovaldi (13-5) (3.52) vs Dean Kremer (13-5) (4.12)

Betting Odds: Texas Rangers -142 / Baltimore Orioles +120 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baltimore Orioles will play the Texas Rangers in Game 3 of their series on Tuesday night at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Texas has won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 11-8, and will be looking to close out the series with a win here. 

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles had a fantastic regular season, where they won 101 games, but they are facing elimination after losing two games at home. The Orioles have lost four of their last five games and they are 52-29 on the road this year. Baltimore took a 2-0 lead in the first inning of Game 2, but they allowed nine runs in the second and third innings to put the game out of reach. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 7.00 ERA with a 1.94 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average this postseason. The Orioles have scored 10 runs with a .271 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .375 with one home run and one RBI this postseason. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 13-5 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 172.2 innings pitched this year. 

Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers are one win away from eliminating the Baltimore Orioles and they will be on their home field for this game. Texas has won four straight games in the postseason, including two games against the Rays to sweep the Wild Card round by scores of 4-0 and 7-1. The Rangers have scored 25 runs in four games so far this postseason. The Texas pitching staff has a 2.50 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average this postseason. The Rangers offense has scored 25 runs with a .272 batting average and a .376 on base percentage. Josh Jung is batting .375 with one home run and three RBI’s for the Rangers this postseason. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who allowed one earned run over 6.2 innings of work against Tampa Bay in the Wild Card round.

Texas Rangers Team Facts

  • The Rangers have won each of their last 11 games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 20 of the last 21 games between the Orioles and Rangers.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five playoff games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 7 innings in each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

  • The Orioles have won 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Rangers.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs against the Rangers.
  • The Orioles have led after 7 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against the Rangers.
  • The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last three road games against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Marcus Semien has hit at least one home run in three of the Rangers' last four games as favorites.
  • Jonah Heim has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rangers' last four night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his four previous playoff appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in seven of the Rangers' last eight games against AL East opponents.
  • Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers' last eight games against the Orioles.
  • Josh Jung has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers' last eight games against the Orioles.
  • Josh Jung has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Jonah Heim has recorded a Single in each of the Rangers' last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in three of his four previous playoff appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Corey Seager ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.327) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Cedric Mullins has scored a run in each of the Orioles' last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles' last five road games against AL opponents.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles' last nine night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jorge Mateo has hit a home run in two of the Orioles' last three road games against the Rangers.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Texas Rangers rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.263).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (881).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 7th in the league for runs scored this season (807).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 7th in the league for RBI's this season (780).

Pick

Texas comes into this game looking to close out the Orioles and advance to the next round, but that is not going to be an easy task against a Baltimore team that had a fantastic regular season. The Orioles were one of the best road teams in the MLB this year, but Texas was 50-31 at home during the regular season. Baltimore has won 13 of Kremer’s last 15 starts and I think they are going to do enough to stay alive in the series. Take the Orioles to get the win. 

David’s Pick Orioles ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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